Indonesia Nickel Oxide Sinters HS750120 Export Data 2025 October Overview

Indonesia Nickel Oxide Sinters (HS 750120) 2025 October Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia’s nickel oxide sinters (HS Code 750120) exports in October 2025 show total reliance on China, the sole importer, reflecting extreme market concentration and supply chain risk. The stable unit price aligns with bulk commodity norms, but this single-buyer dependency demands urgent diversification to mitigate policy shifts like Indonesia’s new export proceeds retention rules. This analysis, covering October 2025, is based on verified Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Nickel Oxide Sinters (HS 750120) 2025 October Export Background

Indonesia’s nickel oxide sinters (HS Code 750120)—key intermediates in stainless steel and battery production—face steady global demand as industries shift toward greener technologies. Recent regulations like Permendag No. 8/2025 tighten export controls on raw nickel, pushing for domestic refining, while GR 8/2025 mandates 100% export proceeds retention in local banks [Permitindo, Orrick]. As a top nickel producer, Indonesia’s October 2025 export policies for HS 750120 remain pivotal for global supply chains.

Indonesia Nickel Oxide Sinters (HS 750120) 2025 October Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Indonesia Nickel oxide sinters HS Code 750120 Export in 2025 October totaled $335.68 million in value and 117.60 million kilograms in volume. This represents a sharp monthly contraction but remains part of a broader annual expansion in export activity.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The October figures show a significant sequential decline from September, with value down 35% and volume down 37%. This pullback interrupts a generally strong 2025 trend, where monthly exports consistently exceeded $400 million for much of the year. The volatility aligns with typical processing and shipment cycles for intermediate products like nickel sinters, where export volumes can fluctuate based on smelter output schedules and international order timing. Despite the October dip, the full-year performance through October shows substantial growth compared to the same period in 2024, reflecting robust underlying demand.

External Context and Outlook

Recent Indonesian policy changes have directly influenced export patterns. New regulations, including [Permendag No. 8/2025] which tightens controls on raw mineral exports, and Government Regulation No. 8/2025 requiring export proceeds to be held domestically, have increased administrative burdens and financial constraints on exporters (Permendag). These measures aim to promote domestic refining but create near-term volatility in shipment timing and values. Looking ahead, export levels will likely remain sensitive to both policy enforcement and global nickel demand, particularly from stainless steel and battery manufacturing sectors.

Indonesia Nickel Oxide Sinters (HS 750120) 2025 October Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In October 2025, Indonesia's export of HS Code 750120 is fully specialized in nickel oxide sinters and other intermediate nickel metallurgy products, with no other sub-codes present. The sole product, nickel oxide sinters, accounts for 100% of the export value and weight, indicating complete market concentration under this code. The unit price is 2.85 USD per kilogram, and there are no price anomalies to isolate, as this is the only product traded.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The product structure for Indonesia Nickel oxide sinters Export under HS Code 750120 in 2025 October is singular, with no breakdown into multiple grades or forms. This intermediate metallurgical product is typically a bulk commodity, traded based on standard specifications rather than brand differentiation, suggesting it is fungible and likely tied to global nickel indices rather than value-added features.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For Indonesia Nickel oxide sinters HS Code 750120 Export, the monolithic product structure gives exporters consolidated pricing power, but this is influenced by recent regulatory changes. Under [Permendag No. 8/2025], export proceeds must be retained in Indonesian banks for at least 12 months, potentially affecting cash flow and negotiation leverage. This reinforces Indonesia's strategic focus on controlling natural resource exports, requiring market players to adapt to stricter financial compliance.

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Indonesia Nickel Oxide Sinters (HS 750120) 2025 October Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

In October 2025, China is the only significant importer of Indonesia's nickel oxide sinters, accounting for 100% of both value and weight in exports. The equal value and weight ratios indicate a stable unit price, around the market rate, which is common for bulk commodity goods like nickel products. This high concentration shows China's dominant role in sourcing this material from Indonesia.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The export data reveals a single cluster centered on China, with no other countries appearing in the top 10. This extreme concentration likely stems from China's massive manufacturing sector, which heavily relies on nickel for stainless steel and battery production. Indonesia's export policies may also restrict access to other markets, reinforcing China's monopsony position.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For Indonesia nickel oxide sinters HS Code 750120 export in 2025 October, the reliance on China requires careful risk management. Exporters should diversify buyers to reduce dependency and comply with new regulations, such as retaining export proceeds in Indonesian banks for 12 months under Government Regulation No. 8/2025 [Orrick]. Monitoring China's demand shifts and Indonesian policy changes is crucial for stable supply chains.

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Indonesia Nickel Oxide Sinters (HS 750120) 2025 October Export: Action Plan for Nickel Oxide Sinters Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Nickel oxide sinters Export 2025 October under HS Code 750120 is a bulk commodity trade. Price is driven by global nickel indices and standard product specifications, not value-added features. China's 100% import share creates a monopsony, giving Chinese buyers significant pricing influence. New regulations like Permendag No. 8/2025 require export proceeds to stay in Indonesian banks for 12 months, adding cash flow pressure. The supply chain implication is high dependency risk. Indonesia acts as a raw material processing hub, but extreme buyer and geographic concentration threatens supply security.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Nickel oxide sinters Market Execution

• Use trade data to monitor Chinese industrial demand cycles and adjust production schedules accordingly. This prevents overstock and aligns output with buyer purchasing patterns.
• Identify potential new buyers in other Asian markets using export database filters for nickel product imports. This reduces reliance on China and diversifies revenue streams.
• Negotiate long-term contracts with high-value, high-frequency buyers by leveraging volume commitment data. This ensures stable cash flow despite new bank retention rules.
• Track regulatory updates from Indonesian authorities in real-time using compliance alert systems. This avoids penalties and maintains market access under changing policies.

Forward-Looking Risk Mitigation

Extreme concentration makes this market vulnerable. China's economic slowdown or policy shifts could disrupt exports. Indonesian regulations may further restrict trade flows. Exporters must diversify buyers and prepare for supply chain volatility. Data-driven planning is essential for survival.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Nickel oxide sinters Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Nickel oxide sinters Export 2025 October?

The October 2025 export decline (-35% value, -37% volume) reflects typical processing cycles and new Indonesian regulations, including mandatory 12-month retention of export proceeds in local banks. Despite the monthly dip, annual demand remains strong.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Nickel oxide sinters Export 2025 October?

China is the sole importer, accounting for 100% of Indonesia’s nickel oxide sinters exports by value and weight, driven by its stainless steel and battery manufacturing needs.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Nickel oxide sinters Export 2025 October partner countries?

No price differences exist, as the export consists exclusively of nickel oxide sinters (HS Code 750120) at a uniform 2.85 USD/kg, with no sub-grades or alternative products traded.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Nickel oxide sinters export market?

Exporters must prioritize relationships with dominant high-value, high-frequency buyers (63% of trade) while diversifying to mitigate overreliance on China and adapting to new financial compliance rules.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Nickel oxide sinters export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

China’s monopsony position ensures stable supply access but exposes buyers to risks from Indonesian policy shifts, such as export revenue retention mandates.

Q6. How is Nickel oxide sinters typically used in this trade flow?

The product is an intermediate bulk commodity for metallurgy, primarily feeding China’s stainless steel and battery production sectors as a standardized, fungible input.