Indonesia Natural Rubber HS400122 Export Data 2025 September Overview

Indonesia Natural Rubber (HS 400122) 2025 September Export: Key Takeaways

Japan dominates Indonesia’s Natural Rubber (HS Code 400122) exports in September 2025, accounting for nearly a quarter of shipments by value and weight, with the U.S. and China forming a high-volume cluster alongside it. The market shows stable bulk demand, with major buyers maintaining consistent value-to-weight ratios, indicating steady commodity trade. This analysis, covering September 2025, is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Natural Rubber (HS 400122) 2025 September Export Background

Indonesia's Natural Rubber (HS Code 400122), which includes technically specified rubber (TSNR) in primary forms or sheets, is a critical material for tire manufacturing and industrial goods, driving steady global demand. With 2025 bringing major HS code changes—including new US tariff rules—exporters must ensure compliance, especially as Indonesia remains a top supplier [FreightAmigo]. The country's strategic role in the September 2025 export market hinges on its production scale and adherence to updated trade policies.

Indonesia Natural Rubber (HS 400122) 2025 September Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In September 2025, Indonesia's Natural Rubber exports under HS Code 400122 reached a value of 244.69 million USD with a volume of 138.77 million kg, marking a significant recovery from the previous months and highlighting the resilience of this key export sector.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The September figures show a month-over-month increase from August, with value rising by approximately 20.71 million USD and volume by 10.94 million kg. This uptick aligns with typical seasonal patterns in the natural rubber industry, where post-monsoon harvesting in Indonesia often boosts supply, and global demand from tire and automotive manufacturers strengthens ahead of year-end production cycles. The mid-year dip in June and July likely reflected temporary inventory adjustments or weather-related disruptions, but the sequential recovery through Q3 2025 indicates robust underlying demand and efficient export logistics.

External Context and Outlook

External policy changes, such as the 2025 updates to HS code requirements and the end of US de minimis rules [FreightAmigo], contributed to export volatility earlier in the year but appear to have stabilized by September. Additionally, Indonesia's ongoing export regulation updates (SSEK) emphasize compliance for smooth trade. Looking forward, sustained demand from key markets and adherence to these policies should support steady growth for Indonesia Natural Rubber HS Code 400122 Export through the remainder of 2025.

Indonesia Natural Rubber (HS 400122) 2025 September Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

For Indonesia Natural Rubber HS Code 400122 Export in September 2025, the market is overwhelmingly dominated by sub-code 40012220, which covers technically specified natural rubber in primary forms and holds over 90 percent of both weight and value shares, with a unit price of 1.76 US dollars per kilogram. A minor sub-code, 40012290, is isolated with a much higher unit price of 3.58 US dollars per kilogram but accounts for less than 0.3 percent of the value, indicating it is an anomaly likely representing a niche or premium variant outside the main trade flow.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The non-anomalous sub-codes, including 40012210 and 40012240, form a cohesive group with unit prices ranging from 1.81 to 1.88 US dollars per kilogram, suggesting they are standard grades of technically specified natural rubber traded as fungible bulk commodities. This uniformity implies that Indonesia's exports under this HS code are primarily tied to global rubber indices, with little value-add differentiation, focusing on raw or semi-processed forms rather than finished goods.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

Given the commodity nature of these exports, pricing power for Indonesia Natural Rubber is largely dependent on international market trends, with exporters needing to prioritize cost efficiency and regulatory compliance. Recent guidance from [FAS USDA] emphasizes the importance of adhering to Indonesian export regulations to avoid disruptions, reinforcing the need for strategic focus on logistics and documentation rather than product differentiation.

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Indonesia Natural Rubber (HS 400122) 2025 September Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Japan is the clear leader for Indonesia Natural Rubber HS Code 400122 Export in 2025 September, taking nearly a quarter of all shipments by both value and weight. The close match between its value share (24.88%) and weight share (24.69%) confirms this is a standard commodity trade, where price is tied directly to volume without a significant quality premium.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The top three buyers—Japan, the United States, and China—form a high-volume cluster, accounting for over two-thirds of the total export weight. Their similar value-to-weight ratios show they are all major consumers purchasing bulk raw material. A second cluster includes India, South Korea, Canada, and Brazil; these are steady, mid-volume buyers with consistent purchasing patterns. A third group, featuring Vietnam and Germany, shows higher shipment frequency relative to volume, suggesting smaller, more frequent orders for specific industrial needs.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For a commodity like natural rubber, maintaining supply reliability to major partners is key. Exporters must ensure compliance with all regulations, as Indonesia requires accurate HS codes for export declarations [FAS USDA]. The high volume to Japan and the US also means logistics planning is critical, especially with noted 2025 HS code changes affecting tariff compliance for shipments to the US [FreightAmigo].

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Indonesia Natural Rubber (HS 400122) 2025 September Export: Action Plan for Natural Rubber Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Natural Rubber Export 2025 September under HS Code 400122 operates as a bulk commodity trade. Price is driven by global rubber indices and standard product grades, not value-added features. Supply depends heavily on consistent bulk shipments to major partners like Japan, the US, and China. This creates supply chain implications centered on logistics efficiency, regulatory compliance, and minimal product differentiation.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Natural Rubber Market Execution

• Monitor shipment frequency data for top buyers like BINTANG BORNEO PERSADA to anticipate demand cycles and optimize inventory planning. This prevents overstock or shortages.
• Track real-time global rubber price indices to align export pricing with market trends. This maximizes revenue per kilogram under HS Code 400122.
• Use partner country trade data to prioritize logistics for high-volume destinations like Japan and the US. This reduces shipping delays and ensures supply reliability.
• Review buyer segment patterns to identify potential growth in smaller, infrequent buyers for market diversification. This reduces over-reliance on dominant bulk purchasers.
• Automate export documentation checks to comply with Indonesian regulations and avoid shipment holds. This prevents disruptions and maintains trade flow.

Final Note

Success in the Indonesia Natural Rubber Export 2025 September market depends on data-driven logistics and regulatory vigilance, not product innovation. Focus on operational execution.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Natural Rubber Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Natural Rubber Export 2025 September?

The recovery in September 2025 reflects seasonal post-monsoon supply boosts and stronger global demand from tire manufacturers, following mid-year volatility tied to regulatory updates and inventory adjustments.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Natural Rubber Export 2025 September?

Japan, the United States, and China dominate, collectively accounting for over two-thirds of export volume, with Japan alone holding nearly 25% of the market share.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Natural Rubber Export 2025 September partner countries?

The price gap stems from the niche sub-code 40012290 (3.58 USD/kg) versus bulk commodity grades like 40012220 (1.76 USD/kg), which represent over 90% of trade volume.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Natural Rubber export market?

Exporters must prioritize relationships with dominant bulk buyers (e.g., BINTANG BORNEO PERSADA) and ensure compliance with logistics and documentation regulations to mitigate concentration risks.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Natural Rubber export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Major buyers like Japan and the US benefit from stable bulk supply, while smaller partners (e.g., Vietnam) face reliance on frequent but lower-volume shipments for niche industrial needs.

Q6. How is Natural Rubber typically used in this trade flow?

The exports are primarily raw or semi-processed technically specified rubber (TSR), traded as fungible bulk commodities for tire and automotive manufacturing globally.