Indonesia Natural Rubber HS400122 Export Data 2025 March Overview

Indonesia Natural Rubber (HS 400122) 2025 March Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia’s Natural rubber (HS Code 400122) Export in 2025 March is dominated by the US and China, which together account for over 40% of shipments, with the US paying a slight premium for marginally higher quality. Buyer concentration remains moderate, balancing industrial demand from major markets like Japan and South Korea against emerging players like India and Turkey. Exporters must prepare for tighter Indonesian regulatory controls, requiring early compliance to avoid supply chain disruptions. This analysis covers the 2025 March period and is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Natural Rubber (HS 400122) 2025 March Export Background

Indonesia’s natural rubber (HS Code 400122), which includes technically specified rubber (TSNR) in sheets or strips, is vital for tire manufacturing and industrial goods, driving steady global demand. In March 2025, updated export policies under MOT Regulation No. 9/2025 and MOF Decree No. 6/KM.4/2025 tightened controls, though natural rubber remains tradable with proper licensing [SSEK]. As a top global supplier, Indonesia’s exports under HS Code 400122 are critical for meeting international market needs while navigating evolving regulations.

Indonesia Natural Rubber (HS 400122) 2025 March Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In March 2025, Indonesia's natural rubber exports under HS Code 400122 reached 280.66 million USD in value and 139.50 million kg in volume, marking a slight recovery from February's figures.

Price and Volume Dynamics

Month-over-month, both value and weight increased marginally in March, with value rising by 2.11 million USD and volume by 0.33 million kg from February levels. This stability reflects typical seasonal demand patterns in the natural rubber industry, where consistent industrial consumption from tire and automotive sectors often leads to minor fluctuations rather than sharp swings. The gradual uptick suggests ongoing stock replenishment cycles without significant disruption.

External Context and Outlook

Indonesia's export environment was influenced by updated policies, including MOT Regulation No. 9/2025 [ARMA Law], which introduced broader export controls but did not explicitly target natural rubber, allowing trade to continue smoothly. However, exporters must monitor compliance with these regulations to mitigate potential risks. Looking ahead, steady global demand and domestic policy adherence should support stable export performance for Indonesia Natural rubber HS Code 400122 Export in 2025.

Indonesia Natural Rubber (HS 400122) 2025 March Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In March 2025, Indonesia's Natural rubber exports under HS Code 400122 are heavily concentrated in HS 40012220, which accounts for over 91% of the export value. This sub-code represents technically specified natural rubber in primary forms, with a unit price of 2.01 USD per kilogram, indicating its role as the standard bulk product. HS 40012290 is an anomaly with negligible volume and a lower unit price of 0.77 USD per kilogram, isolated from the main analysis due to its insignificant market presence.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The other sub-codes, HS 40012210, 40012240, and 40012230, all describe technically specified natural rubber but show unit price differences: 2.05, 2.10, and 3.22 USD per kilogram respectively. This variation suggests a split into standard grades (HS 40012210 and 40012240) and a premium grade (HS 40012230), likely based on quality or processing. The market operates as a commodity trade with some product differentiation, rather than a fully uniform bulk market.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For Indonesia Natural rubber HS Code 400122 Export in 2025 March, the dominance of lower-priced grades limits overall pricing power, but the premium grade offers margin opportunities. Exporters should prioritize higher-value rubber production and ensure compliance with Indonesia's export regulations, such as those outlined in [arma-law.com], to maintain market access and avoid disruptions.

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Indonesia Natural Rubber (HS 400122) 2025 March Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia's Natural rubber HS Code 400122 Export in 2025 March is led by the UNITED STATES, which accounts for 21.86% of total export value but only 21.89% of weight, showing it pays a slightly higher unit price near 2.01 USD/kg. CHINA MAINLAND follows as the second largest buyer with 18.85% value share against 19.35% weight share, paying about 1.96 USD/kg. This value-weight alignment suggests both top buyers purchase standard commodity grades, with the US market showing a marginal preference for better quality.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The top importers form three clear groups. The first cluster includes the US and China, both major industrial consumers with massive tire and automotive sectors driving steady demand for bulk natural rubber. The second cluster contains JAPAN and SOUTH KOREA, advanced manufacturers requiring consistent high-volume rubber for precision parts and exports. The third group consists of emerging industrial bases like INDIA, MEXICO, and TURKEY, whose growing automotive and manufacturing sectors create reliable demand for cost-effective rubber supplies.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Exporters must prepare for tighter regulatory control, as Indonesia's new policies [Ministry of Trade] and [Ministry of Finance] impose stricter export compliance and licensing from 2025. Companies should secure necessary permits early and diversify toward buyers like Japan and South Korea that value supply chain stability. Shipment planning must account for potential administrative delays, while maintaining quality to justify premium pricing in markets like the US.

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Indonesia Natural Rubber (HS 400122) 2025 March Export: Action Plan for Natural Rubber Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

The Indonesia Natural rubber Export 2025 March under HS Code 400122 operates as a commodity market. Price is primarily driven by product grade differentiation, with a standard bulk price of 2.01 USD/kg and a premium grade reaching 3.22 USD/kg. Geopolitical factors and concentrated buyer dependence amplify pricing volatility. The supply chain implication is Indonesia's role as a critical processing hub for global tire and automotive industries, requiring unwavering supply security and compliance with new 2025 export regulations to maintain market access.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Natural rubber Market Execution

• Shift production focus toward premium HS Code 40012230 rubber. This captures higher margins in markets like the US and reduces reliance on low-value bulk sales.
• Use buyer frequency data to strengthen relationships with dominant high-volume clients. This ensures stable order flow and provides early warning of demand shifts.
• Diversify export destinations using trade flow analytics to target manufacturing hubs like Japan and South Korea. This reduces vulnerability to demand shocks in any single market.
• Pre-emptively secure all export permits and align shipments with updated 2025 Ministry of Trade regulations. This avoids costly administrative delays and ensures continuous market access.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Natural rubber Export 2025 March?

A1. The slight recovery in March 2025 reflects stable industrial demand, particularly from tire and automotive sectors, with minor month-over-month growth in both value (2.11M USD) and volume (0.33M kg).

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Natural rubber Export 2025 March?

A2. The UNITED STATES (21.86% of export value) and CHINA MAINLAND (18.85%) dominate, followed by industrial buyers like JAPAN and SOUTH KOREA.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Natural rubber Export 2025 March partner countries?

A3. Price variations stem from grade differentiation: standard bulk rubber (2.01–2.10 USD/kg) dominates, while premium grades like HS 40012230 command 3.22 USD/kg.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Natural rubber export market?

A4. Prioritize premium-grade production (e.g., HS 40012230) to capture margins, while maintaining compliance with 2025 export regulations to avoid disruptions.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Natural rubber export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

A5. Buyers in the US and China benefit from stable bulk supply, while Japanese/Korean manufacturers can leverage Indonesia’s focus on quality for higher-grade needs.

Q6. How is Natural rubber typically used in this trade flow?

A6. Primarily for industrial applications like tire manufacturing and automotive parts, driven by consistent demand from major industrial economies.