Indonesia Natural Gas HS271121 Export Data 2025 September Overview

Indonesia's Natural Gas (HS Code 271121) exports in September 2025 were 100% dependent on Singapore, revealing extreme concentration risk, per yTrade data.

Indonesia Natural Gas (HS 271121) 2025 September Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia’s Natural Gas (HS Code 271121) exports in September 2025 reveal a market entirely dependent on Singapore, which accounted for 100% of both value and weight, confirming a standardized commodity trade with no quality-tier variations. The absence of other buyers highlights extreme concentration risk, with supply chain stability hinging solely on Singaporean demand. This analysis, covering September 2025, is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Natural Gas (HS 271121) 2025 September Export Background

Indonesia’s Natural Gas (HS Code 271121: Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons; in gaseous state) is a critical energy export, powering industries like electricity and manufacturing globally due to its stable demand. While no major policy changes were reported in September 2025 [Global Trade Alert], Indonesia remains a key supplier, with exports valued at $2.17 billion in 2023 [WITS]. The country’s strategic role in the 2025 Natural Gas export market underscores its importance amid steady global energy needs.

Indonesia Natural Gas (HS 271121) 2025 September Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In September 2025, Indonesia's exports of natural gas under HS Code 271121 reached 153.09 million USD in value and 299.57 million kg in volume, reflecting a slight moderation in trade activity for the month.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The month-over-month decline from August to September saw value drop by approximately 5.9% and volume decrease by about 4.7%, indicating a short-term pullback in Indonesia Natural Gas HS Code 271121 Export flows. This dip aligns with typical fluctuations in the energy sector, where export volumes can vary due to operational factors like maintenance cycles or adjustments in LNG shipment schedules. Throughout 2025, the data shows relative stability with minor oscillations, suggesting no structural shifts in demand or supply patterns for this period.

External Context and Outlook

Absent specific policy changes impacting natural gas, the September downturn likely stems from broader macro-economic factors such as global LNG price volatility or shifting import demand from key partners. For the remainder of 2025, Indonesia's export trajectory for HS Code 271121 is expected to remain steady, influenced by ongoing energy market dynamics rather than regulatory interventions.

Indonesia Natural Gas (HS 271121) 2025 September Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In September 2025, Indonesia's export of Natural Gas under HS Code 271121 is entirely concentrated on a single product variant, specifically HS Code 27112190 for Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons in gaseous state, natural gas. This sub-code accounts for 100% of the export value and weight, with a unit price of 0.51 USD per kilogram, indicating no diversification or price anomalies within this period.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

With no other sub-codes present, the structure for Indonesia Natural Gas HS Code 271121 Export in 2025 September is uniform, pointing to a fungible bulk commodity trade. The absence of varied grades or forms suggests that exports are based on standard quality specifications, typical for homogeneous products like natural gas, rather than differentiated or value-added goods.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

As a bulk commodity, Indonesia's pricing for Natural Gas exports under HS Code 271121 is likely tied to global market indices, limiting individual pricing power. The high concentration implies a stable, volume-driven strategy, but without relevant news updates in September 2025, no immediate policy changes or competitive shifts are indicated, maintaining a focus on efficient export operations.

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Indonesia Natural Gas (HS 271121) 2025 September Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia's Natural Gas HS Code 271121 Export in 2025 September shows total reliance on Singapore as the single buyer, accounting for 100% of both export value and weight. The identical value and weight ratios confirm this trade involves a standardized commodity, where pricing directly tracks volume without quality or processing tier variations.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

Only one country appears in the data, forming a single cluster. Singapore's role as Indonesia's sole natural gas customer points to existing pipeline infrastructure or long-term supply contracts between the two neighbors. The absence of other buyers may result from Indonesia's export data for this period being limited or shipments being consolidated through Singapore for further regional distribution.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Suppliers should prioritize maintaining stable delivery volumes and contract terms with Singaporean partners, as any disruption there would halt all exports. They must monitor for any Indonesian policy shifts that could redirect gas to domestic use or new markets, though no such changes were reported in September 2025. The total dependence on one route requires developing contingency plans for potential supply chain interruptions.

CountryValueQuantityFrequencyWeight
SINGAPORE153.09M14.27M7.00299.57M
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Indonesia Natural Gas (HS 271121) 2025 September Export: Action Plan for Natural Gas Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Natural Gas Export 2025 September under HS Code 271121 operates as a bulk commodity. Price is driven by global market indices and Singaporean contract volumes. Supply chain implications include total reliance on Singaporean infrastructure and high vulnerability to single-route disruptions.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Natural Gas Market Execution

  • Diversify buyer portfolios using trade data to target new regional partners. This reduces dependency on Singapore and stabilizes long-term revenue.
  • Monitor global natural gas price indices daily to adjust contract negotiations. This ensures competitive pricing aligned with real-time market shifts.
  • Develop alternative logistics routes for gas shipments to mitigate supply chain risks. This prevents total export halts if Singaporean access is interrupted.
  • Analyze competitor export data to identify untraded markets for expansion. This uncovers new demand sources beyond current concentrated buyers.
  • Track Indonesian policy updates monthly to anticipate domestic use mandates. This prepares for potential export volume reductions or redirects.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Natural Gas Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Natural Gas Export 2025 September?

The slight 5.9% decline in value and 4.7% drop in volume from August to September 2025 reflects typical energy sector fluctuations, likely tied to operational adjustments or global LNG price shifts, with no structural demand/supply disruptions.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Natural Gas Export 2025 September?

Singapore is the sole buyer, accounting for 100% of Indonesia’s natural gas exports by value and volume, indicating total geographic reliance on this partner.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Natural Gas Export 2025 September partner countries?

Price uniformity exists (0.51 USD/kg) as exports are entirely concentrated on HS Code 27112190, a standardized bulk commodity without quality or processing-tier variations.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Natural Gas export market?

Exporters must prioritize securing long-term contracts with dominant buyers like PT PERTAMINA and PETROCHINA (83.42% of value) while diversifying to mitigate over-reliance on Singapore.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Natural Gas export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Singaporean buyers benefit from stable, high-volume supply but face systemic risk if Indonesia redirects gas domestically or develops alternative export routes.

Q6. How is Natural Gas typically used in this trade flow?

The homogeneous product (gaseous state, no sub-grades) suggests use in energy generation or industrial applications, traded as a fungible bulk commodity.

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