Indonesia Ferro-nickel HS720260 Export Data 2025 Q3 Overview
Indonesia Ferro-nickel (HS 720260) 2025 Q3 Export: Key Takeaways
Indonesia’s Ferro-nickel (HS Code 720260) exports in 2025 Q3 reveal extreme reliance on China, absorbing 94% of volume and value at a stable $1.41/kg—highlighting raw material pricing and supply chain vulnerability. The market remains tightly concentrated, with minimal diversification beyond China’s steel industry dominance, raising exposure to demand shocks. This analysis, covering 2025 Q3, is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.
Indonesia Ferro-nickel (HS 720260) 2025 Q3 Export Background
Indonesia Ferro-nickel (HS Code 720260, Ferro-alloys; ferro-nickel) is critical for stainless steel production, with stable global demand driven by construction and manufacturing. In Q3 2025, Indonesia tightened export controls under Permendag 8/9-2025, requiring shipping permits to prioritize downstream processing [SSEK]. As the world’s top supplier, Indonesia’s exports remain heavily concentrated in China, reflecting its strategic role in the global ferro-nickel trade.
Indonesia Ferro-nickel (HS 720260) 2025 Q3 Export: Trend Summary
Key Observations
In Q3 2025, Indonesia's export of Ferro-nickel under HS Code 720260 totaled approximately 4.27 billion USD in value and 3.03 billion kg in volume, showing a slight quarter-on-quarter decrease in value but an increase in volume, reflecting mixed performance amid regulatory and market shifts.
Price and Volume Dynamics
Compared to Q2 2025, export value declined by 1.8% from 4.35 billion USD to 4.27 billion USD, while volume rose by 4.2% from 2.91 billion kg to 3.03 billion kg, indicating a drop in average prices. This trend aligns with industry cycles where ferro-nickel demand, heavily tied to stainless steel production, often sees price softness in Q3 due to seasonal inventory drawdowns and slower industrial activity in key markets, prior to any external policy impacts.
External Context and Outlook
The Q3 volatility was influenced by Indonesia's regulatory tightening, including the August 2025 implementation of MOF Regulation 25/2025, which introduced stricter customs documentation and electronic filing [ssek.com], potentially causing short-term export disruptions. With China absorbing nearly 99% of exports (ytrade.com), any demand shifts or policy changes there directly affect Indonesia's ferro-nickel outlook, maintaining a focus on compliance and value-added processing under ongoing reforms.
Indonesia Ferro-nickel (HS 720260) 2025 Q3 Export: HS Code Breakdown
Product Specialization and Concentration
In Q3 2025, Indonesia's export of Ferro-nickel under HS Code 720260 is entirely dominated by a single sub-code, HS Code 72026000 "Ferro-alloys; ferro-nickel", which accounts for all exports by value, weight, and quantity. The unit price of 1.41 USD per kilogram confirms a bulk commodity specialization with no price anomalies or variations to isolate.
Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis
With no other sub-codes present, the export structure is monolithic, consisting only of ferro-nickel in a uniform form. This indicates that Indonesia's Ferro-nickel HS Code 720260 Export in 2025 Q3 is traded as a fungible bulk commodity, lacking differentiation in quality grade or value-add stages, and is likely priced against standard market indices.
Strategic Implication and Pricing Power
The complete concentration in a single product form gives Indonesia pricing power due to its dominant supply role, but extreme reliance on China, which absorbs 99% of exports [ytrade.com], creates vulnerability to demand changes. Recent regulatory updates, such as stricter export controls, aim to enhance oversight but may increase compliance burdens for market players.
Check Detailed HS 720260 Breakdown
Indonesia Ferro-nickel (HS 720260) 2025 Q3 Export: Market Concentration
Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role
Indonesia's Ferro-nickel HS Code 720260 Export 2025 Q3 shows extreme reliance on China Mainland, which accounts for 94% of both value and weight. The near-identical value and weight ratios indicate a bulk commodity with consistent pricing, around 1.41 USD per kilogram, typical for raw materials like ferro-nickel used in steel production.
Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes
The export partners form three clusters: China Mainland as the primary hub due to its massive steel industry demand; India and South Korea as secondary buyers with small shares, likely for regional steel manufacturing; and a group including Netherlands, Mexico, China Taiwan, and South Africa with minimal volumes, possibly for niche uses or re-export. This pattern stems from China's role as the global processing center for minerals, while other nations have limited capacity or alternative sources.
Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications
The heavy dependence on China poses supply chain risks, such as vulnerability to demand shifts or policy changes. Indonesia should prioritize market diversification and adhere to new export regulations, like those under Permendag 8/9-2025, which emphasize compliance and value-added processing [ytrade.com]. Exporters must focus on electronic licensing and documentation to navigate stricter controls and maintain access to key markets.
| Country | Value | Quantity | Frequency | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHINA MAINLAND | 4.02B | 2.85M | 469.00 | 2.85B |
| INDIA | 126.70M | 89.59K | 16.00 | 89.59M |
| SOUTH KOREA | 100.87M | 67.01K | 23.00 | 67.01M |
| NETHERLANDS | 14.40M | 10.00K | 2.00 | 10.00M |
| MEXICO | 10.66M | 8.00K | 1.00 | 8.00M |
| CHINA TAIWAN | ****** | ****** | ****** | ****** |
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Indonesia Ferro-nickel (HS 720260) 2025 Q3 Export: Action Plan for Ferro-nickel Market Expansion
Strategic Supply Chain Overview
Indonesia Ferro-nickel Export 2025 Q3 under HS Code 720260 operates as a bulk commodity. Its price is driven by China's steel demand and global nickel indices. Supply chain implications are high risk due to extreme reliance on China for 94% of exports. This creates vulnerability to Chinese policy shifts or demand drops. Indonesia's role is as a raw material supplier with limited value-add.
Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Ferro-nickel Market Execution
- Monitor shipment frequency data for top buyers like SHUOSHI INDONESIA INVESTMENT. This helps anticipate order cycles and prevent revenue gaps from delayed purchases.
- Track China’s industrial policy updates monthly. This allows quick response to demand changes and avoids inventory build-up.
- Use trade data to identify secondary markets like India or South Korea. This diversifies buyers and reduces over-dependence on China.
- Implement electronic licensing systems aligned with Permendag 8/9-2025 rules. This ensures compliance and avoids export delays.
- Analyze competitor nickel supply sources quarterly. This positions Indonesia to exploit supply shortages elsewhere and capture market share.
Forward Strategy: Leveraging Data for Diversification and Compliance
Indonesia must reduce reliance on China. Use trade data to target buyers in growing steel markets. Prioritize compliance with new export regulations to maintain market access. Build relationships with small-but-frequent buyers to create a stable secondary revenue stream. This strategy balances risk and growth for HS Code 720260.
Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Ferro-nickel Export Data
Frequently Asked Questions
Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Ferro-nickel Export 2025 Q3?
A1. A 1.8% drop in export value alongside a 4.2% volume rise reflects price softness, driven by seasonal demand cycles in stainless steel production and regulatory tightening under MOF Regulation 25/2025, which introduced stricter customs controls.
Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Ferro-nickel Export 2025 Q3?
A2. China dominates with 94% of exports by value and weight, followed by minor shares from India and South Korea, reflecting China’s role as the global processing hub for raw materials.
Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Ferro-nickel Export 2025 Q3 partner countries?
A3. No price variation exists—all exports are uniformly priced at 1.41 USD/kg under HS Code 72026000, confirming a bulk commodity structure without quality or grade differentiation.
Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Ferro-nickel export market?
A4. Exporters must prioritize relationships with dominant buyers like SHUOSHI INDONESIA INVESTMENT (handling 81.65% of value) while diversifying markets to reduce reliance on China, alongside compliance with new electronic licensing rules.
Q5. What does this Indonesia Ferro-nickel export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?
A5. China’s near-total dominance ensures stable bulk supply but exposes buyers to risks from Indonesian policy shifts, while niche buyers in other markets face limited availability and higher dependency on re-exports.
Q6. How is Ferro-nickel typically used in this trade flow?
A6. Ferro-nickel is traded as a raw material for stainless steel production, with Indonesia’s monolithic export structure indicating fungible, bulk-grade commodity trade.
Detailed Monthly Report
Indonesia HS720260 Export Snapshot 2025 JUL
Indonesia Ferro-nickel HS720260 Export Data 2025 Q2 Overview
Indonesia Ferro-nickel (HS Code 720260) Export to China hit 96.8% in Q2 2025 at $1.50/kg, per yTrade data, showing high supply chain risk from buyer concentration.
Indonesia Ferro-nickel HS720260 Export Data 2025 September Overview
China dominated 95% of Indonesia Ferro-nickel (HS Code 720260) Export in Sept 2025, per yTrade data, signaling high market risk; South Korea & India paid premium prices.
