Indonesia Coal HS270119 Export Data 2025 March Overview

Indonesia Coal (HS 270119) 2025 March Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia Coal Export 2025 March under HS Code 270119 shows India as the dominant buyer, accounting for 33.82% of volume but paying lower prices, signaling bulk purchases of standard-grade thermal coal. The market is highly concentrated, with India, China, and Southeast Asian nations driving over 70% of demand, creating supply chain risks amid Indonesia’s new pricing mandates. This analysis covers March 2025 and is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Coal (HS 270119) 2025 March Export Background

Indonesia’s Coal (HS Code 270119), which includes non-anthracite and non-bituminous coal, whether pulverized but not agglomerated, fuels power plants and industrial boilers globally, maintaining steady demand despite energy transitions. In March 2025, Indonesia tightened export rules, mandating thermal coal shipments to align with domestic pricing benchmarks [S&P Global], disrupting trade flows. As the world’s top thermal coal exporter, Indonesia’s 2025 policy shifts aim to maximize revenue while balancing domestic and international market needs.

Indonesia Coal (HS 270119) 2025 March Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In March 2025, Indonesia's exports of Coal under HS Code 270119 totaled USD 1.54 billion in value and 26.13 billion kg in volume, reflecting a slight dip in monetary terms despite stable shipment levels.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The monthly trend for Indonesia Coal HS Code 270119 Export shows a value decline from USD 1.68 billion in January to USD 1.54 billion in March, while volume edged up from 25.39 billion kg to 26.13 billion kg. This divergence from typical coal market cycles—where steady industrial demand often supports pricing—suggests underlying pressures, as the volume increase did not translate to higher revenue, indicating potential price compression ahead of seasonal shifts.

External Context and Outlook

The March volatility aligns with Indonesia's implementation of a new coal export pricing mandate, as reported by [S&P Global Commodity Insights], which required thermal coal to be priced at or above domestic benchmarks, disrupting contracts and dampening values (S&P Global). Ongoing regulatory reviews, including potential export levies, may sustain uncertainty for Indonesia Coal HS Code 270119 Export through 2025.

Indonesia Coal (HS 270119) 2025 March Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In March 2025, Indonesia's coal exports under HS Code 270119 are fully concentrated on the sub-code '27011900', which covers coal other than anthracite and bituminous, not agglomerated. This single product accounts for all export value and weight, with a unit price of 0.06 USD per kilogram, confirming its role as a low-value, bulk commodity without significant specialization or price variation.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

With only one sub-code present, the export structure for Indonesia Coal HS Code 270119 lacks differentiation in value-add stages or quality grades. This uniformity indicates a trade in fungible bulk commodities, where products are standardized and likely priced against global indices rather than being customized or processed for higher value.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

The monolithic nature of this export suggests limited inherent pricing power for individual players, but Indonesia's recent policy changes, such as mandating export prices based on the domestic index [SSEK], aim to bolster national control over revenues (SSEK). Market participants should focus on compliance with these regulations and monitor potential impacts on contract stability and global supply chains.

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Indonesia Coal (HS 270119) 2025 March Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

In March 2025, Indonesia's coal exports under HS Code 270119 showed strong geographic concentration, with India as the dominant importer, accounting for 33.82% of the weight and 28.80% of the value. India's value ratio is lower than its weight ratio, indicating it likely imports lower-grade coal at a cheaper price per kilogram, around $0.05 USD/kg based on the data. This pattern points to India's role as a bulk buyer of standard thermal coal for energy needs.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The top importers form two clear clusters. First, major energy consumers like India, China Mainland, Philippines, and Vietnam together take over 70% of the weight, driven by high electricity demand and proximity to Indonesia, reducing shipping costs. Second, countries like South Korea and Bangladesh import smaller shares, possibly for specific industrial uses or blended coal requirements, reflecting diversified sourcing strategies in the region.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Market players should prepare for increased price volatility and potential supply disruptions. Indonesia's new export pricing mandate, which requires coal to be sold at or above the domestic reference price [SSEK], may lead to contract renegotiations or halted trades, as seen with key buyers like India. Companies must secure long-term agreements and explore alternative sources to mitigate risks in the Indonesia Coal HS Code 270119 Export market for 2025.

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Indonesia Coal (HS 270119) 2025 March Export: Action Plan for Coal Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Coal Export 2025 March under HS Code 270119 operates as a bulk commodity trade. Price is driven by global coal indices and Indonesia's new domestic pricing mandate. Quality is uniform and low-value. Supply chains face high concentration risk. Key buyers like India dominate with large, frequent orders. Geopolitical policy shifts create volatility. Indonesia's role is as a volume supplier of standard thermal coal. This structure limits pricing power but emphasizes supply security for energy importers.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Coal Market Execution

• Use HS Code 270119 shipment data to track real-time buyer purchase cycles. This prevents over-reliance on any single client and identifies new volume opportunities early.
• Monitor Indonesia's domestic coal price index monthly for compliance. This ensures all export contracts meet new regulatory standards and avoid penalties.
• Analyze import patterns of key countries like India and China for demand shifts. This allows proactive negotiation of long-term agreements to lock in stable volumes.
• Diversify buyer base by targeting secondary markets in Southeast Asia. This reduces vulnerability to contract cancellations or policy changes in major importing nations.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Coal Export 2025 March?

The decline in export value despite stable volume is linked to Indonesia's new pricing mandate, which requires coal to be sold at or above domestic benchmarks, compressing margins and disrupting contracts.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Coal Export 2025 March?

India dominates with 33.82% of the weight, followed by China Mainland, Philippines, and Vietnam, which collectively account for over 70% of shipments.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Coal Export 2025 March partner countries?

Price differences stem from bulk purchases of standardized, low-grade coal (HS Code 27011900), with India paying $0.05/kg due to its high-volume, low-value imports.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Coal export market?

Exporters must prioritize long-term agreements with high-value, frequent buyers (87.61% of trade) while complying with the new pricing policy to mitigate regulatory risks.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Coal export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers face potential supply disruptions and price volatility due to Indonesia’s export mandates, necessitating diversified sourcing or renegotiated contracts.

Q6. How is Coal typically used in this trade flow?

The exported coal (HS Code 27011900) is primarily low-grade thermal coal, used for power generation in energy-intensive markets like India and Southeast Asia.