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2025 Chile Refined Copper Cathodes (HS 740311) Export: Volatile Surge

Chile's Refined Copper Cathodes Export (HS code 740311) saw a 40.5% surge in March 2025 before a 28% drop by September, driven by U.S. tariff shifts. Track trends on yTrade.

Key Takeaways

Refined Copper Cathodes, classified under HS Code 740311 (Cathodes and sections of cathodes, of refined copper), exhibited high volatility from January to September 2025.

  • Market Pulse: Exports surged 40.5% in March before collapsing 28% by September, driven by U.S. tariff policy shifts rather than organic demand.
  • Structural Shift: Chile Refined Copper Cathodes Export relies heavily on the U.S. (50.14% of value), with China and Brazil as distant secondary markets, exposing trade to concentration risk.
  • Product Logic: HS Code 740311 trade data confirms a monolithic market—100% of exports are bulk refined cathodes priced at commodity benchmarks (9.20 USD/kg), leaving no room for premium differentiation.

This overview covers the period from January to September 2025 and is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.

Chile Refined Copper Cathodes (HS Code 740311) Key Metrics Trend

Market Trend Summary

The export trend for Chile's refined copper cathodes demonstrated significant volatility throughout the first three quarters of 2025. After a stable start, shipments surged dramatically in March with a 40.5% month-on-month value increase, followed by a sharp 28% contraction by September. The overall trajectory shows a Q1-Q2 expansion phase, with August marking the cycle peak at $10.04/kg, before retreating to Q1 levels.

Drivers & Industry Context

The March surge aligns with anticipatory shipping ahead of the U.S. 50% tariff announcement [FreightAmigo], which exempted raw cathodes (HS 740311) but triggered supply chain repositioning. This explains the 28.6% volume spike that month. The August unit price peak reflects tariff-driven market adjustments, while September's 27.9% value collapse corresponds to the policy's implementation phase [Itau]. The hs code 740311 value trajectory thus mirrors real-time trade policy impacts rather than fundamental demand shifts, with producers like Codelco accelerating shipments pre-tariff [OEC].

Table: Chile Refined Copper Cathodes Export Trend (Source: yTrade)

DateValueWeightUnit PriceValue MoMWeight MoMUnit Price MoM
2025-01-011.05B USD128.54M kg$8.20/kgN/AN/AN/A
2025-02-011.03B USD124.80M kg$8.22/kg-2.71%-2.91%+0.21%
2025-03-011.44B USD160.45M kg$8.98/kg+40.54%+28.56%+9.32%
2025-04-011.38B USD145.02M kg$9.54/kg-3.97%-9.61%+6.24%
2025-05-011.54B USD166.29M kg$9.28/kg+11.57%+14.66%-2.70%
2025-06-011.21B USD132.85M kg$9.13/kg-21.42%-20.11%-1.64%
2025-07-011.52B USD156.67M kg$9.67/kg+24.91%+17.93%+5.92%
2025-08-011.55B USD154.33M kg$10.04/kg+2.26%-1.49%+3.81%
2025-09-011.12B USD118.87M kg$9.39/kg-27.97%-22.98%-6.48%

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Chile HS Code 740311 Export Breakdown

Market Composition & Top Categories

Refined copper cathodes dominate Chile's HS Code 740311 export market, accounting for 100% of export value, weight, and shipment frequency. According to yTrade data, throughout the first three quarters of 2025, no other sub-categories were recorded under this code, making it a monolithic export segment. This concentration underscores the strategic focus of Chile's HS Code 740311 Export on high-volume, standardized copper products.

Value Chain & Strategic Insights

The unit price of 9.20 USD per kilogram aligns with global benchmark rates for refined copper, indicating a commodity-driven market with intense price sensitivity. The trade structure of HS Code 740311 breakdown reveals a reliance on bulk, undifferentiated goods, where competitive pricing and supply chain efficiency dictate success. Export strategies should prioritize cost control and market timing over value-added differentiation.

Check Detailed HS Code 740311 Breakdown

Chile Refined Copper Cathodes Destination Countries

Geographic Concentration & Market Risk

Chile's Refined Copper Cathodes export destinations are overwhelmingly dominated by the United States, which captured 50.14% of total value from January to September 2025. This heavy reliance on a single market heightens exposure to U.S. demand fluctuations or tariff disruptions. China and Brazil follow distantly with 16.73% and 11.44% value shares, indicating limited diversification and elevated concentration risk.

Purchasing Behavior & Demand Segmentation

Value and weight ratios align closely across major partners, with the U.S. at 50.14% value and 48.98% weight, signaling consistent pricing and bulk industrial consumption. Lower frequency ratios relative to weight—such as 30.67% versus 48.98% for the U.S.—point to infrequent, high-volume shipments suited for processing or stockpiling. This profile confirms trade partners for Refined Copper Cathodes prioritize volume scale over margin potential, reflecting commodity-driven demand.

Table: Chile Refined Copper Cathodes (HS Code 740311) Top Destination Countries (Source: yTrade)

CountryValueQuantityFrequencyWeight
UNITED STATES5.94B628.15M973.00630.76M
CHINA MAINLAND1.98B213.19M815.00215.36M
BRAZIL1.36B164.75M682.00164.85M
FRANCE692.97M71.71M103.0071.77M
SOUTH KOREA566.38M61.87M204.0062.12M
SWEDEN************************

Get Chile Refined Copper Cathodes (HS Code 740311) Complete Destination Countries Profile

Action Plan for Refined Copper Cathodes Market Operation and Expansion

  • Diversify export markets: Reduce reliance on the U.S. by targeting underpenetrated regions like Southeast Asia, where copper demand is rising but Chile’s share remains low.
  • Lock in forward contracts: Hedge against price volatility by securing fixed-price agreements during stable periods (e.g., Q1 2025), avoiding spot market exposure during policy shocks.
  • Optimize logistics costs: Negotiate bulk shipping rates or explore transshipment hubs to offset thin margins in this commodity-driven trade.
  • Monitor U.S. trade policy: Track tariff adjustments and stockpiling trends to anticipate demand swings, as seen in the March 2025 surge.
  • Audit supplier contracts: Renegotiate terms with buyers to align payment cycles with shipment frequency, given the high-volume, low-frequency trade pattern.

Take Action Now —— Explore Chile Refined Copper Cathodes HS Code 740311 Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Chile Refined Copper Cathodes Export in 2025?

Chile's refined copper cathodes exports surged 40.5% in March 2025 ahead of a U.S. tariff announcement, then collapsed 28% by September, reflecting policy-driven volatility rather than demand shifts.

Q2. Who are the main destination countries of Chile Refined Copper Cathodes (HS Code 740311) in 2025?

The U.S. dominates with 50.14% of export value, followed by China (16.73%) and Brazil (11.44%), showing heavy reliance on a single market.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across destination countries of Chile Refined Copper Cathodes Export in 2025?

Prices are uniform at ~9.20 USD/kg globally, as HS Code 740311 trades as a standardized bulk commodity with no sub-category variations.

Q4. What should exporters in Chile focus on in the current Refined Copper Cathodes export market?

Exporters must prioritize cost control and timing due to price-sensitive demand, while diversifying beyond the U.S. to mitigate concentration risk.

Q5. What does this Chile Refined Copper Cathodes export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers receive bulk, infrequent shipments suited for stockpiling, with stable pricing but exposure to Chile's policy-driven supply volatility.

Q6. How is Refined Copper Cathodes typically used in this trade flow?

The product serves industrial processing needs, with high-volume shipments indicating use in manufacturing or infrastructure projects.

Detailed Monthly and Quarterly Report

Chile HS Code 740311 Export Data Snapshot 2025 FEB

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Chile HS Code 740311 Export Data Snapshot 2025 Q1

Chile HS Code 740311 Export Data Snapshot 2025 Q2

Chile HS Code 740311 Export Data Snapshot 2025 Q3

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