2025 Chile Fresh Grapes (HS 080610) Export: Seasonal Plunge

Key Takeaways

Fresh Grapes, classified under HS Code 080610 (Fresh grapes), exhibited a pronounced seasonal surge followed by a steep contraction from January to September 2025.

• Market Pulse: Shipments peaked at 601 million kg in March, then plummeted to near-zero by September, reflecting the Southern Hemisphere’s harvesting cycle.
• Structural Shift: Chile Fresh Grapes Export relies heavily on the US (20.83% of value), exposing it to concentration risk in a bulk-driven, low-margin market.
• Product Logic: HS Code 080610 trade data reveals a commodity-dominated market, with 76% of value tied to one sub-category, though premium segments ($0.44/kg) exist.

This overview covers the period from January to September 2025 and is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.

Chile Fresh Grapes (HS Code 080610) Key Metrics Trend

Market Trend Summary

The export trend for Chile's Fresh Grapes (HS 080610) across the first three quarters of 2025 followed a pronounced seasonal arc, characterized by a sharp Q1 surge followed by a steep contraction. Shipments surged from 165 million kg in January to a peak of 601 million kg in March, then declined progressively through June to just 37 million kg, with minimal activity recorded through August and a full halt by September. This trajectory reflects the standard harvesting and export cycle for Southern Hemisphere table grapes, where volume peaks during the late summer months before tapering off.

Drivers & Industry Context

The high volume in Q1 aligns with the core harvesting window, with strong demand from key markets like Asia and Colombia absorbing output [YTrade]. The subsequent sharp decline is primarily seasonal, marking the end of the exportable crop. No disruptive policy shifts were reported, though exporters benefited from maintained preferential access under agreements with the EU and others, supporting stable flows during the active months. The value derived from HS Code 080610 peaked in March at $143.5 million, closely tracking volume, while the steep drop into mid-year reflects the natural conclusion of the supply cycle rather than any demand or regulatory shock.

Table: Chile Fresh Grapes Export Trend (Source: yTrade)

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Chile HS Code 080610 Export Breakdown

Market Composition & Top Categories

Chile's HS Code 080610 export of fresh grapes is overwhelmingly dominated by one category, which accounts for 76% of the total value and 81% of the weight. According to yTrade data, this sub-category handled over 1.6 billion kilograms shipped across more than 27,000 transactions in the first three quarters of 2025. The remaining sub-categories are minor, collectively representing less than a quarter of the trade volume and value for Chile's HS Code 080610 export.

Value Chain & Strategic Insights

Unit prices vary significantly, from under $0.01/kg to $0.44/kg, indicating a market segmented by quality or variety rather than uniform commodity pricing. This is a classic commodity market where volume drives value, but premium segments exist for higher-grade produce. The trade structure shows that most exports are low-margin, high-volume shipments, with only a small fraction achieving noticeably higher unit values.

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Chile Fresh Grapes Destination Countries

Geographic Concentration & Market Risk

The US dominates Chile's Fresh Grapes export destinations, capturing 20.83% of total value from January to September 2025. This heavy reliance on a single market introduces significant concentration risk, as any demand shift or trade policy change in the US would immediately impact Chilean exporters. The market's stability is therefore directly tied to US economic and regulatory conditions.

Purchasing Behavior & Demand Segmentation

The US market displays classic commodity-driven behavior, with its weight share (69.52%) dramatically exceeding its value share (20.83%), indicating bulk shipments at competitive prices. The high frequency ratio (50.04%) further confirms fragmented, high-volume demand, likely from retail chains requiring Just-in-Time replenishment. This profile defines the US as a volume-scale market rather than a margin-premium opportunity for Chilean Fresh Grapes trade partners.

Table: Chile Fresh Grapes (HS Code 080610) Top Destination Countries (Source: yTrade)

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Action Plan for Fresh Grapes Market Operation and Expansion

• Diversify export markets: Reduce reliance on the US by targeting emerging markets in Asia or Europe, where higher unit prices may offset volume risks.
• Lock in Q1 contracts: Capitalize on the March volume peak by securing forward agreements with buyers to stabilize revenue during the high-demand window.
• Optimize logistics for bulk shipments: Negotiate freight rates or consolidate shipments to cut costs, given the commodity-driven, low-margin nature of 81% of exports.
• Segment premium offerings: Identify and market high-value ($0.44/kg) grape varieties separately to avoid price dilution in bulk transactions.
• Monitor US trade policy: Track regulatory changes in the US, Chile’s top market, to preempt disruptions to 20.83% of export value.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Chile Fresh Grapes Export in 2025?

The export trend follows a seasonal harvesting cycle, peaking at 601 million kg in March before sharply declining by mid-2025. This reflects standard Southern Hemisphere production patterns, with no disruptive policy shifts reported.

Q2. Who are the main destination countries of Chile Fresh Grapes (HS Code 080610) in 2025?

The US dominates as the top destination, accounting for 20.83% of Chile’s export value, with its weight share (69.52%) far exceeding value share, indicating bulk commodity demand.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across destination countries of Chile Fresh Grapes Export in 2025?

Prices range from under $0.01/kg to $0.44/kg due to market segmentation—high-volume, low-margin shipments dominate, while premium-grade produce commands higher values.

Q4. What should exporters in Chile focus on in the current Fresh Grapes export market?

Exporters should prioritize mitigating US market concentration risk while leveraging seasonal peaks and exploring premium segments to diversify revenue streams.

Q5. What does this Chile Fresh Grapes export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

US buyers benefit from stable, high-volume supply at competitive prices, but reliance on Chile’s seasonal cycle requires planning for mid-year shortages.

Q6. How is Fresh Grapes typically used in this trade flow?

Fresh grapes are primarily traded as bulk retail commodities, with most shipments destined for large-scale distribution channels like supermarkets.

Detailed Monthly and Quarterly Report

Chile HS Code 080610 Export Data Snapshot 2025 FEB

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Chile HS Code 080610 Export Data Snapshot 2025 Q1

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