Botswana Wheat Import Market -- HS Code 1001 Trade Data & Price Trend (Oct 2025)

Botswana Wheat Import (HS 1001) Key Takeaways

Botswana's wheat imports under HS Code 1001 in October 2025 were dominated by bulk, low-grade wheat, with Lithuania supplying over 52% of volume amid a sharp 59% MoM value decline. The market is highly concentrated, relying on a few high-volume traders like NWK and SEABOARD, exposing it to supply chain risks. Unit prices remained stable at $0.34/kg, but the downward trend reflects broader economic pressures, including potential impacts from U.S. trade restrictions. This analysis is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database for October 2025.

Botswana Wheat Import (HS 1001) Background

What is HS Code 1001?

HS Code 1001 covers wheat and meslin, a staple commodity critical for food security and industrial processing. Primarily used in flour production, baking, and animal feed, wheat maintains stable global demand due to its role as a dietary staple. Its trade dynamics are influenced by agricultural output, climate conditions, and geopolitical factors.

Current Context and Strategic Position

The U.S. administration recently imposed a 37% additional duty on all imports from Botswana, effective April 2025 [Global Trade Alert]. This policy shift underscores the need for vigilance in Botswana's wheat import market, particularly for HS Code 1001 trade data. As a landlocked nation reliant on agricultural imports, Botswana faces heightened cost pressures, making strategic sourcing and tariff management essential. Monitoring these developments is critical for stakeholders navigating the evolving trade landscape.

Botswana Wheat Import (HS 1001) Price Trend

Key Observations

In October 2025, Botswana's wheat imports under HS code 1001 totaled $1.60 million at a unit price of $0.34 per kg, marking a significant decrease from the higher volumes seen earlier in the year.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The hs code 1001 value trend peaked in March at $5.97 million before declining steadily through October, with a notable MoM drop of 59% in value from September. Unit prices remained relatively stable around $0.34-$0.38 per kg for most months, except for a temporary spike to $0.62 in July likely due to short-term supply issues. This downward trajectory in the Botswana Wheat Import trend may reflect broader economic pressures, including potential impacts from the US imposition of a 37% additional duty on all imports from Botswana effective April 9, 2025 [Global Trade Alert], which could have constrained import capacity through reduced export revenues. Seasonal demand cycles and inventory adjustments in wheat markets also contributed to the fluctuating import volumes observed throughout 2025.

Botswana Wheat Import (HS 1001) HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

Analysis of HS Code 1001 trade data for Botswana's import in October 2025 shows extreme concentration in 'Cereals; wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed' (HS Code 10019900), which accounts for over 99% of both weight and value. According to yTrade data, this product's unit price of 0.34 USD per kilogram defines it as a bulk commodity with minimal specialization, while the minor presence of durum wheat at 0.36 USD per kilogram does not represent a significant price anomaly.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The import structure under HS Code 1001 consists of two categories: standard wheat (non-durum) and durum wheat, both traded as raw agricultural goods without processing or value-add stages. With unit prices closely aligned and high volume shares, this indicates a market for fungible bulk commodities, where products are largely interchangeable and tied to global grain indices rather than brand or quality differentiation.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For importers involved in Botswana's HS Code 1001 trade, the bulk nature implies low pricing power and high exposure to international price volatility. Strategic efforts should focus on supply chain reliability and cost management, such as negotiating long-term contracts or diversifying sources to reduce dependency on spot market fluctuations.

Table: Botswana HS Code 1001) Breakdown Details (Source: yTrade)

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Botswana Wheat Import (HS 1001) Origin Countries

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

In October 2025, Botswana's Wheat imports show strong geographic concentration, with Lithuania as the dominant origin country, accounting for 52.27% of import value and 53.75% of weight. The slightly higher weight share compared to value share indicates trade in bulk, raw Wheat, typical for commodity goods. Lithuania also leads in shipment frequency at 52.99%, suggesting high-frequency, regular deliveries, possibly due to the perishable nature of Wheat or consistent demand cycles.

Origin Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The origin countries form a primary Volume/Hub cluster led by Lithuania, with Germany and South Africa as secondary volume sources, holding 29.77% and 16.48% weight shares respectively. All three exhibit similar value-to-weight ratios, reinforcing the bulk trade pattern for Wheat. The high frequency from Lithuania, at over half of all shipments, points to a logistics-driven approach, likely ensuring fresh supply and minimizing stockouts in Botswana's market.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Botswana's heavy reliance on Lithuania for Wheat imports creates supply chain vulnerability; diversifying sources could mitigate risks from potential disruptions. Analyzing trade data for HS Code 1001 reveals no immediate policy shifts from the news context, but monitoring alternative suppliers like regional neighbors could enhance stability. Future strategies should focus on securing multiple origins to balance cost and reliability in Wheat sourcing.

Table: Botswana Wheat (HS 1001) Top Origin Countries (Source: yTrade)

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Botswana Wheat (HS 1001) Suppliers Analysis

Supplier Concentration and Dominance

In October 2025, the Botswana wheat import market shows extreme concentration, with a small set of suppliers handling nearly all trade volume. According to yTrade data, suppliers providing high-value and high-frequency shipments dominate, accounting for 97.72% of the total import value. This indicates that the typical trade for Botswana wheat import suppliers involves large, regular shipments, defining the market's core activity.

Strategic Supplier Clusters and Trade Role

The remaining supplier groups have minimal impact, with low-value and low-frequency players contributing only 2.23% of value. The profile of HS code 1001 suppliers, led by companies like NWK and SEABOARD, points to an agent-driven market. These firms are likely intermediaries or traders, common in commodity sectors like wheat, where specialized handling and distribution are key.

Sourcing Strategy and Vulnerability

Botswana's heavy reliance on a few high-volume traders for wheat imports creates vulnerability to supply disruptions or price shifts. Strategic focus should include diversifying sources to mitigate risks. The current model favors efficiency but lacks resilience, urging importers to explore backup suppliers or regional options for stability.

Table: Botswana Wheat (HS 1001) Top Suppliers List (Source: yTrade)

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Action Plan for Wheat Market Operation and Expansion

• Use hs code 1001 trade data to identify and qualify backup suppliers in secondary markets like Germany or South Africa, reducing Botswana's Wheat import reliance on Lithuania and enhancing supply chain resilience against disruptions.
• Negotiate long-term contracts with high-frequency suppliers using trade volume trends to lock in stable pricing, shielding Botswana's Wheat supply chain from global commodity price volatility.
• Monitor hs code 1001 trade data in real-time to track shipment frequency and volume shifts, enabling proactive inventory management and avoiding stockouts in the Botswana Wheat Import market.
• Diversify sourcing within the Wheat supply chain by engaging regional or smaller suppliers for partial volumes, balancing cost efficiency with reduced dependency on dominant traders.
• Analyze buyer and supplier frequency patterns to optimize logistics scheduling, ensuring timely deliveries and minimizing warehousing costs for Botswana Wheat Import operations.

Take Action Now —— Explore Botswana Wheat Import Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Botswana Wheat Import 2025 October?

The decline in Botswana's wheat imports reflects a 59% MoM drop in value by October 2025, likely due to broader economic pressures like the US-imposed 37% duty on Botswana exports, which may have constrained import capacity. Stable unit prices ($0.34-$0.38/kg) suggest bulk commodity dynamics, not price volatility.

Q2. Who are the main origin countries of Botswana Wheat (HS Code 1001) 2025 October?

Lithuania dominates with 52.27% of import value, followed by Germany (29.77%) and South Africa (16.48%). All three trade bulk wheat with similar value-to-weight ratios.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across origin countries of Botswana Wheat Import?

Price differences are minimal (e.g., $0.34/kg for standard wheat vs. $0.36/kg for durum wheat), reflecting interchangeable bulk commodities tied to global indices, not quality differentiation.

Q4. What should importers in Botswana focus on when buying Wheat?

Diversify suppliers beyond Lithuania (52% reliance) to mitigate supply-chain risks and negotiate long-term contracts to manage bulk-commodity price volatility.

Q5. What does this Botswana Wheat import pattern mean for overseas suppliers?

Suppliers like NWK and SEABOARD benefit from high-volume, agent-driven trade, but must ensure logistics reliability to maintain dominance in this concentrated market.

Q6. How is Wheat typically used in this trade flow?

Imported wheat is traded as raw agricultural bulk goods, primarily for staple food production, with no value-add processing noted in the supply chain.