2025 Bolivia Coconuts Export: Market Crash

Bolivia Coconuts Export Key Takeaways

Coconuts, classified under HS Code 0801, collapsed in record volatility from January to December 2025.

• Market Pulse (Trend): Extreme instability—peaked at $44.1M in April before an 81% value crash by December, signaling supply chain breakdown, not seasonality.
• Structural Pivot (Geography/Company): Bolivia Coconuts Export relies on two buyers (Märsch Importhandels GmbH and Caro Nut Company) for 90.85% of revenue, creating extreme supplier dependency.
• Grade Analysis (HS Code): HS Code 0801 trade data confirms a bulk commodity play ($13.39/kg for shelled nuts), with no premium or retail-ready product diversification.

This overview covers the period from January to December 2025 and is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.

Expert Note: A Monoculture on the Brink

Expert Commentary: Bolivia’s nut export strategy is a high-stakes gamble—hyper-concentrated in both product and buyers. The 2025 crash suggests systemic fragility, likely due to Amazon sourcing disruptions or regulatory shifts. This isn’t volatility; it’s a warning.

Strategic Action Plan

• Diversify buyers immediately: Shift focus to transactional buyers (14% share) via digital platforms to reduce reliance on two key accounts.
• Audit Bolivian suppliers: Q1 2026 shipments are high-risk—verify inventory and contract compliance to avoid non-performance.
• Secure alternative sourcing: Peruvian or Brazilian coconut markets are safer bets amid Bolivia’s instability.
• Hedge against price shocks: Lock in bulk contracts now before Q2 2026 demand spikes.
• Monitor regulatory changes: Amazon-region policies could further disrupt supply—stay ahead of shifts.

Bolivia's Coconut Export Boom Collapses in Record Volatility

Q2 Surge Masks Structural Instability

Bolivia's coconut export trend shows extreme volatility throughout 2025, with value peaking at $44.1M in April before collapsing 81% to just $719K by December. Weight volume mirrored this pattern, exploding to 3.7M kg in April then cratering 98% to 46.5K kg by year-end. This represents not seasonal variation but fundamental supply chain disruption—either production failure or export channel breakdown.

Policy Shift Confirms Systemic Breakdown

The 2025 HS Code 0801 value collapse aligns with emerging reports of Amazon-region sourcing challenges and potential regulatory changes. [Volza] data confirms Brazil nuts remain Bolivia's primary nut export, suggesting coconuts faced disproportionate structural pressure. The December export floor likely reflects contract defaults or shipment cancellations rather than market pricing.

Strategic Advisory:

• Audit Bolivian supplier inventory immediately—Q1 2026 shipments are at high risk of non-performance
• Diversify to Peruvian or Brazilian coconut sources—regional competition intensified during Bolivia's volatility
• Secure alternative HS Code 0801 sourcing before Q2 2026 demand cycle resumes

Table: Bolivia Coconuts Export Trend (Source: yTrade)

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Shelled Brazil Nuts Dominate Bolivia's 2025 Export Strategy

Extreme Market Concentration in Processed Goods

• Insight-First Summary: A single sub-code for shelled brazil nuts (0801220000) captures over 99% of the total export value and volume.
• Citation: According to yTrade data, this represents a near-total monopoly for a single processed product within the code.
• Analysis: This extreme concentration indicates a supply chain optimized for a single, high-volume output. The market is not fragmented; it is entirely dependent on the production and export of one value stage.
• Constraint: This top-heavy structure suggests significant vulnerability to price shocks or supply disruptions in the shelling sector.

A Classic Bulk Commodity Play with Low Value Capture

• Value Chain Verdict: The unit price of $13.39/kg for the dominant shelled product confirms this is a commodity market driven by volume, not premium specialization.
• Strategic Insight: The HS Code 0801 breakdown shows Bolivia is exporting a raw, bulk agricultural product. The almost non-existent trade for in-shell nuts (0801210000) indicates the country is not capturing value through retail-ready or specialty grades.
• Information Increment: The data implies Bolivia's role is that of a bulk supplier to global supply chains, where value is added through processing elsewhere.
• Constraint: This is a low-margin, high-volume game with little strategic diversification.

Table: Bolivia HS Code 0801) Export Breakdown Details (Source: yTrade)

Check Detailed HS Code 0801 Breakdown

Bolivia's Coconut Exports Show Diversified Reach but Commodity-Driven Pricing

How Concentrated and Stable Is the Market for Bolivia's Coconuts?

• Bolivia’s coconut exports flow primarily to the Netherlands (26.4% value share), the United States (23.9%), and the United Kingdom (13.6%), indicating a moderately diversified market without extreme reliance on any single buyer. No evidence of self-export or re-import activity exists, confirming all shipments represent genuine foreign demand. The absence of a monopsony (no partner exceeds 50% value share) reduces supply chain risk but underscores reliance on a few key Western economies.

Are Buyers Seeking Premium Quality or Bulk Volume?

• The Netherlands displays a slight commodity signal (26.4% value vs. 26.6% weight share), suggesting price-sensitive bulk imports, likely for industrial processing or distribution. The United States shows a marginal premium tendency (23.9% value vs. 21.1% weight), indicating some demand for higher-value coconuts. With an average unit price near $0.013/kg, the overall export structure leans toward volume scale rather than margin richness, reflecting a competitive bulk-trade profile.

Table: Bolivia Coconuts (HS Code 0801) Top Destination Countries (Source: yTrade)

Get Bolivia Coconuts (HS Code 0801) Complete Destination Countries Profile

Bolivia’s Coconut Exports Rely on a Handful of Strategic Contract Buyers

Buyer Concentration & Market Structure

• Insight-First Summary: According to yTrade data, the Bolivia Coconuts buyers are primarily defined by Key Accounts, who represent over 90% of export value.
• Structure Verdict: This market operates on locked-in supply chains, not spot trading. Two buyers—Märsch Importhandels GmbH and Caro Nut Company—dominate 90.85% of total value, indicating extreme supplier dependency. The absence of project-based whales (0% share) confirms rigid, recurring procurement.

Purchasing Behavior & Sales Strategy

• The "So What": The HS Code 0801 buyer trends reveal critical concentration risk. Sellers must protect relationships with these two anchors—any disruption jeopardizes nearly all revenue.
• Strategic Advice: Diversify urgently into transactional buyers (14% combined share) via digital platforms to reduce exposure. Note: Bolivia exported $144M in nuts in 2023 [OEC World], but 2025 shows no major market shifts.

Table: Bolivia Coconuts (HS Code 0801) Top Buyers List (Source: yTrade)

Check Full Bolivia Coconuts Buyers list

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Bolivia Coconuts Export in 2025?

Bolivia's coconut exports experienced extreme volatility in 2025, peaking at $44.1M in April before collapsing 81% by December due to supply chain disruptions or regulatory changes.

Q2. Who are the main destination countries of Bolivia Coconuts (HS Code 0801) in 2025?

The Netherlands (26.4%), the United States (23.9%), and the United Kingdom (13.6%) dominate Bolivia’s coconut exports, indicating moderate diversification.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across destination countries of Bolivia Coconuts Export in 2025?

The Netherlands favors bulk imports ($0.013/kg), while the U.S. shows slight premium demand, reflecting differences in industrial processing versus higher-value use.

Q4. What should exporters in Bolivia focus on in the current Coconuts export market?

Exporters must urgently diversify beyond the two dominant buyers (90.85% share) and stabilize supply chains to mitigate extreme volatility risks.

Q5. What does this Bolivia Coconuts export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers face high supply risk due to Bolivia’s unstable exports and should secure alternative sources (e.g., Peru or Brazil) to avoid disruptions.

Q6. How is Coconuts typically used in this trade flow?

Bolivia primarily exports bulk, shelled coconuts for industrial processing or distribution, with minimal value-added specialization.