Argentina Wheat Export Market -- HS Code 100199 Trade Data & Price Trend (Feb 2025)

Argentina's wheat (HS Code 100199) exports to Brazil surged in February 2025, with rising prices at $0.49/kg despite lower volumes, per yTrade data.

Argentina Wheat Export (HS 100199) Key Takeaways

Argentina's wheat exports under HS Code 100199 in February 2025 are dominated by a single bulk-grade product, with Brazil absorbing nearly a quarter of shipments as the stable top buyer. Despite a month-over-month decline in volume and value, unit prices rose to $0.49/kg, signaling tighter supply or shifting demand. The export structure remains highly concentrated, with Brazil anchoring a predictable high-volume trade while smaller, frequent shipments serve markets like Indonesia and Kenya. Argentina's pricing power hinges on cost efficiency in this commoditized trade, as the data reveals no meaningful diversification within the code. This analysis covers February 2025 and is based on processed customs data from the yTrade database.

Argentina Wheat Export (HS 100199) Background

What is HS Code 100199?

HS Code 100199 covers wheat and meslin, a staple commodity primarily used for human consumption and animal feed. Its global demand remains stable due to its role as a dietary staple and input for processed foods. The product's trade significance is driven by its essential nature in food security and agricultural supply chains.

Current Context and Strategic Position

Global wheat markets face ongoing volatility due to climate variability and geopolitical tensions, impacting supply chains and pricing. Argentina's wheat export sector is strategically important, as the country ranks among the top global suppliers, leveraging its fertile plains for high-quality production. Monitoring Argentina's wheat export trends under HS Code 100199 is critical for stakeholders navigating shifting trade dynamics. Vigilance is essential to anticipate market shifts and capitalize on emerging opportunities.

Argentina Wheat Export (HS 100199) Price Trend

Key Observations

Argentina's wheat exports under hs code 100199 in February 2025 reached a total value of 1.02 billion USD, with a unit price of $0.49 per kilogram. This represents a decrease in overall export value compared to the previous month.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The Argentina Wheat Export trend shows a month-over-month decline in both value and volume, with value dropping from 1.17 billion USD in January to 1.02 billion USD in February, and weight falling from 2.54 billion kg to 2.08 billion kg. However, the unit price increased from $0.46 to $0.49 per kilogram, indicating a shift towards higher pricing despite reduced quantities. This dynamic likely reflects seasonal post-harvest adjustments in supply or broader global demand cycles affecting the hs code 100199 value trend, potentially driven by factors like currency movements or competitive market pressures.

Argentina Wheat Export (HS 100199) HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

According to yTrade data, Argentina's export of Wheat under HS Code 100199 in February 2025 is overwhelmingly concentrated in a single product variant. The sub-code 10019900110, described as "Cereals; wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed", dominates with over 99% share by weight and value, at a unit price of 0.49 USD per kilogram. A minor variant with the same description but a higher unit price of 0.82 USD per kilogram is present but isolated due to its negligible share, indicating it may represent a niche or anomalous grade not central to the main trade flow.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The export structure for HS Code 100199 is characterized by a primary category of standard, bulk wheat, as evidenced by the dominant sub-code's low unit price and high volume. This suggests a trade in fungible commodities, likely tied to global price indices rather than differentiated products. The isolated higher-priced variant does not form a significant category, reinforcing that Argentina's exports under this code are largely homogeneous and focused on mass-market grain.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

The high concentration in a single product type implies that Argentina holds substantial pricing power for HS Code 100199 exports, but as a commodity, this power is tempered by market volatility and index linkages. Strategic efforts should prioritize cost efficiency and consistent quality to maintain competitiveness in global wheat markets, rather than pursuing diversification within this code. Analysis of HS Code 100199 trade data confirms that focus on bulk handling and logistics will yield the best returns.

Check Detailed HS Code 100199 Breakdown

Argentina Wheat Export (HS 100199) Destination Countries

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Brazil is the dominant destination for Argentina's wheat exports in February 2025, receiving 24.35% of the total export value. This share is nearly identical to its 23.82% portion of the total weight, indicating a balanced trade flow for this product. The high frequency of shipments (20.56%) further confirms Brazil's role as a stable and consistent major market for Argentine wheat.

Destination Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The remaining buyers form two clear clusters. Indonesia and Angola represent a volume cluster; Indonesia accounts for 12.65% of the weight and Angola for 8.34%, showing a focus on bulk purchases. A second, transactional cluster includes Kenya, Bangladesh, and Uganda. These countries show a higher frequency of shipments relative to their value and volume shares, suggesting a trade pattern built on regular, smaller shipments, which is common for food staples to ensure a steady supply.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

The data suggests a two-pronged strategy for Argentina's wheat export. The priority is to maintain the strong, high-volume relationship with Brazil. Concurrently, there is an opportunity to deepen ties with the transactional cluster by ensuring reliable and efficient shipping schedules to meet their recurring demand. With no specific trade news announced, these patterns appear driven by established regional demand and supply chains.

Table: Argentina Wheat (HS 100199) Top Destination Countries (Source: yTrade)

CountryValueQuantityFrequencyWeight
BRAZIL236.65M1.03M74.00475.60M
INDONESIA123.70M529.94K33.00264.86M
ANGOLA81.31M349.69K27.00171.69M
KENYA57.53M248.10K19.00113.05M
BANGLADESH52.67M234.03K11.00116.70M
UGANDA************************

Get Complete Destination Countries Profile

Action Plan for Wheat Market Operation and Expansion

  • Prioritize Brazil's high-volume shipments. Use hs code 100199 trade data to forecast demand and lock in long-term contracts. This secures a stable revenue base for Argentina's Wheat Export.
  • Optimize logistics for transactional buyers like Kenya and Bangladesh. Analyze shipment frequency to schedule reliable, smaller consignments. This builds loyalty and ensures the Wheat supply chain meets recurring regional food security needs.
  • Maintain strict quality control on the dominant bulk product. Consistent grading prevents price discounts and protects the reputation of Argentina's Wheat Export in competitive global markets.
  • Diversify export destinations to mitigate risk. Use trade data to identify new markets with growing demand. This reduces over-reliance on any single region and strengthens overall supply chain resilience.
  • Monitor global wheat price indices and geopolitical events. Adjust export timing and pricing strategies proactively. This maximizes returns from Argentina's commodity-driven Wheat Export trade.

Take Action Now —— Explore Argentina Wheat Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Argentina Wheat Export 2025 February?

Argentina's wheat exports declined in value and volume compared to January 2025, but unit prices rose from $0.46 to $0.49/kg. This suggests post-harvest supply adjustments or global demand shifts influencing pricing despite reduced quantities.

Q2. Who are the main destination countries of Argentina Wheat (HS Code 100199) 2025 February?

Brazil dominates with 24.35% of export value, followed by Indonesia (12.65% by weight) and Angola (8.34% by weight). Kenya, Bangladesh, and Uganda form a transactional cluster with frequent, smaller shipments.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across destination countries of Argentina Wheat Export?

The price difference stems from the dominance of bulk wheat (sub-code 10019900110 at $0.49/kg), which accounts for 99% of trade. A negligible higher-priced variant ($0.82/kg) exists but does not significantly impact overall pricing.

Q4. What should exporters in Argentina focus on in the current Wheat export market?

Exporters should prioritize cost efficiency and consistent quality for Brazil’s high-volume demand while optimizing logistics for transactional markets like Kenya and Bangladesh to ensure reliable smaller shipments.

Q5. What does this Argentina Wheat export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Brazil benefits from stable bulk supply, while transactional buyers gain predictable, smaller shipments. All partners rely on Argentina’s homogeneous commodity-grade wheat, with minimal price variability.

Q6. How is Wheat typically used in this trade flow?

The trade is overwhelmingly focused on bulk, standard-grade wheat (non-durum, non-seed), likely for mass-market food production or staple grain distribution, given its fungible commodity nature.

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