Paraguay - United States Trade 2025 Q2: Deficit & Resource Exchange

Key Market Takeaways: Paraguay - United States Trade

The bilateral trade relationship between Paraguay and United States shows growth with high volatility in Q2 2025.

• Deficit-Driven Trade: Paraguay runs a $201M trade deficit with the U.S. ($110M exports vs. $311M imports), despite erratic export swings (+62% YoY highs to -29% lows).
• Resource-for-Tech Exchange: Paraguay - United States trade statistics reveal a lopsided exchange—nearly half of Paraguay’s exports are meat (HS 02), while 43% of imports are U.S. energy products (HS 27).
• Asymmetric Interdependence: The U.S. holds value-chain dominance, supplying critical fuels and machinery, while Paraguay remains a niche agricultural supplier.

This bilateral trade snapshot is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.

Paraguay-United States Trade Trend in Q2 2025

Paraguay Export Performance: Shipments to United States

• Total Volume: $109.97M in Q2 2025.
• Growth Trend & Context:
  • YoY swings were extreme: +41.47% in April, +62.81% in May, then a -29.03% collapse in June. No clear trend direction.
  • No relevant trade news to explain volatility.
• Key Volatility: June saw a -48.46% MoM drop, the sharpest monthly decline. May’s +15.43% MoM surge was the high point.

Paraguay Import Performance: Sourcing from United States

• Total Volume: $311.00M in Q2 2025.
• Growth Trend & Context:
  • YoY growth was mixed: -0.14% in April, +8.82% in May, +7.03% in June. Slight upward momentum by quarter-end.
• Key Volatility: June imports spiked +13.31% MoM after a -6.63% dip in May. April’s $103.96M was the highest monthly value.

Paraguay - United States Trade Balance & Market Dynamics

• Net Position: Trade deficit of $201.03M (Exports $109.97M vs. Imports $311.00M).
• Relationship Status: Heavy reliance on U.S. imports, with exports failing to offset demand. Volatile export performance exacerbates the imbalance.

Paraguay Import Trend from United States 2025 Q2 (Source: yTrade)**

Paraguay Export Trend to United States 2025 Q2 (Source: yTrade)**

Get Historical Paraguay United States Trade Records

Paraguay-United States Top Trading Products in Q2 2025

Paraguay Export Profile: What Does Paraguay Sell to United States

• Top Commodity: Rank #1 Export is HS 02 (Meat and edible meat offal) at 48.66% of total exports to the U.S.
• Demand Driver: The U.S. imports these agricultural products to serve its consumer market, likely for food processing or retail.
• Concentration: Trade is highly concentrated, with the top commodity (HS 02) accounting for nearly half of all exports.

Paraguay Import Profile: What Does Paraguay Buy from United States

• Top Commodity: Rank #1 Import is HS 27 (Mineral fuels, oils, and distillation products) at 42.97% of total imports from the U.S.
• Dependency Nature: This reflects energy security dependency, as Paraguay relies on the U.S. for critical fuel supplies.

Paraguay - United States Trade Relationship Dynamics

• The Exchange Model: Resource-for-Tech Complementarity—Paraguay exports raw agricultural goods (HS 02, 12) while importing energy (HS 27) and machinery (HS 84, 85) from the U.S.
• Value Chain Position: The U.S. holds the higher value-add position, supplying advanced machinery and energy products, while Paraguay provides low-value-added agricultural outputs.

Import Analysis by Product: United States to Paraguay (Source: yTrade)

Export Analysis by Product: Paraguay to United States (Source: yTrade)

Check Detailed Paraguay-United States Trade HS Code Breakdown

Future Outlook & Strategic Recommendations

Forecast

The Paraguay - United States trade relationship in Q3 2025 is likely to remain volatile, with exports facing unpredictable swings while imports show steady demand. Paraguay’s heavy reliance on U.S. energy (HS 27) and machinery (HS 84, 85) will sustain the trade deficit, but meat exports (HS 02) could rebound if market conditions stabilize. Traders should prepare for erratic export performance, while importers must secure stable fuel supplies ahead of potential price fluctuations. Without diversification, Paraguay’s trade imbalance with the U.S. will persist.

Strategic Moves

• Lock in Energy Contracts: Importers should negotiate long-term agreements for HS 27 (mineral fuels) to mitigate price volatility and ensure supply security.
• Diversify Export Markets: Paraguayan meat producers must reduce dependence on the U.S. by targeting emerging markets in Asia and the Middle East to stabilize revenue.
• Upgrade Agri-Tech Partnerships: Leverage U.S. machinery imports (HS 84, 85) to modernize Paraguay’s meat processing, boosting export value and competitiveness.

Frequently Asked Questions

How did Paraguay - United States trade perform in 2025 Q2?

Paraguay exported $109.97M to the United States in Q2 2025, with extreme YoY volatility (+41.47% in April, -29.03% in June). Imports totaled $311.00M, showing slight upward momentum by quarter-end.

What are the top exports from Paraguay to United States?

The top export is HS 02 (Meat and edible meat offal), accounting for 48.66% of Paraguay’s total exports to the U.S.

What does Paraguay import from United States?

The top import is HS 27 (Mineral fuels, oils, and distillation products), making up 42.97% of Paraguay’s imports from the U.S.

What is the trade balance between Paraguay and United States?

Paraguay recorded a trade deficit of $201.03M in Q2 2025, driven by heavy reliance on U.S. imports and volatile export performance.