Mexico - Canada Trade 2024 Q4: Surplus & Volatility

Mexico's $1.66B trade surplus with Canada highlights a volatile Q4 2024. Explore Mexico Canada trade trends and top trading products via yTrade data insights.

Key Market Takeaways: Mexico - Canada Trade

The bilateral trade relationship between Mexico and Canada shows mixed growth with high volatility in Q4 2024.

  • Economic Pulse: Mexico holds a $1.66B trade surplus ($4.96B exports vs. $3.30B imports), with exports outpacing imports by 50%. Volatility marked the quarter, with sharp MoM swings in both directions.
  • Exchange Structure: Mexico - Canada trade statistics reveal a Resource-for-Tech Complementarity—Mexico’s exports are dominated by high-value unspecified goods (40% share), while Canada supplies machinery (HS 84, 85) and industrial inputs.
  • Strategic Interdependence: The partnership reflects strong supply chain integration, with Canada occupying a higher value-add position in critical sectors.

This bilateral trade snapshot is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.

Mexico-Canada Trade Trend in Q4 2024

Mexico Export Performance: Shipments to Canada

  • Total Volume: $4.96B in Q4 2024.
  • Growth Trend & Context:
    • YoY growth was mixed, with October up 6.24% but December down 8.05%.
    • No specific trade news to explain the volatility.
  • Key Volatility: December saw the sharpest MoM drop (-18.92%), while October had the highest MoM gain (30.8%).

Mexico Import Performance: Sourcing from Canada

  • Total Volume: $3.30B in Q4 2024.
  • Growth Trend & Context:
    • YoY growth fluctuated, peaking at 8.82% in December after a -4.24% dip in November.
  • Key Volatility: October recorded the highest MoM surge (50.92%), while November saw the steepest decline (-17.27%).

Mexico - Canada Trade Balance & Market Dynamics

  • Net Position: Mexico holds a trade surplus of $1.66B ($4.96B exports - $3.30B imports).
  • Relationship Status: Mexico maintains a strong net exporter role, with exports outpacing imports by 50% in Q4.

Mexico Import Trend from Canada 2024 Q4 (Source: yTrade)**

MonthValueMoMYoY
Oct1.24B50.92%6.09%
Nov1.03B-17.27%-4.24%
Dec1.03B0.03%8.82%
Total3.30B--

Mexico Export Trend to Canada 2024 Q4 (Source: yTrade)**

MonthValueMoMYoY
Oct1.89B30.8%6.24%
Nov1.70B-10.46%-0.2%
Dec1.38B-18.92%-8.05%
Total4.96B--

Get Historical Mexico Canada Trade Records

Mexico-Canada Top Trading Products in Q4 2024

Mexico Export Profile: What Does Mexico Sell to Canada

  • Top Commodity: HS Code 99 (Unspecified goods) dominates with 40.00% share.
  • Demand Driver: Canada likely uses these for industrial processing or re-export, given the high value and broad category.
  • Concentration: Trade is highly concentrated, with the top two codes (99 and 87) accounting for 72.21% of exports.

Mexico Import Profile: What Does Mexico Buy from Canada

  • Top Commodity: HS Code 99 (Unspecified goods) leads at 18.40% share.
  • Dependency Nature: Likely reflects critical inputs for Mexico’s manufacturing or energy sectors, given the mix of machinery (HS 84, 85) and raw materials (HS 02, 38).

Mexico - Canada Trade Relationship Dynamics

  • The Exchange Model: Resource-for-Tech Complementarity. Mexico exports high-value unspecified goods (possibly processed commodities) while importing machinery and industrial inputs from Canada.
  • Value Chain Position: Canada holds a higher value-add position, supplying advanced machinery (HS 84, 85) and chemicals (HS 38), while Mexico’s exports are less differentiated.

Import Analysis by Product: Canada to Mexico (Source: yTrade)

HS CodeValuePercent
99607.98M18.40%
87532.70M16.12%
84514.63M15.57%
85234.57M7.10%
39187.99M5.69%
02183.06M5.54%
38159.64M4.83%
76113.96M3.45%
7285.43M2.59%
7361.65M1.87%

Export Analysis by Product: Mexico to Canada (Source: yTrade)

HS CodeValuePercent
991.99B40.00%
871.60B32.21%
85428.05M8.62%
84421.74M8.49%
94143.96M2.90%
0872.07M1.45%
1932.40M0.65%
0731.69M0.64%
3030.35M0.61%
7326.52M0.53%

Check Detailed Mexico-Canada Trade HS Code Breakdown

Future Outlook & Strategic Recommendations

Forecast for Mexico-Canada Trade

Mexico’s trade surplus with Canada is expected to hold steady in Q1 2025, supported by sustained demand for high-value unspecified goods (HS 99) and industrial inputs. However, volatility in monthly trade flows—particularly the sharp December export decline—suggests potential supply chain disruptions or shifting Canadian demand. Exporters should prepare for uneven growth, while importers of Canadian machinery (HS 84, 85) may face tighter margins due to Mexico’s reliance on these critical inputs. The Mexico-Canada trade forecast hinges on stabilizing monthly fluctuations to sustain long-term complementarity.

Strategic Moves for Traders

  • Lock in Pricing for HS 99 Exports: Given the dominance of unspecified goods in Mexico’s exports, negotiate long-term contracts with Canadian buyers to mitigate volatility and secure stable revenue streams.
  • Diversify Import Sources for Machinery: Reduce dependency on Canadian HS 84/85 imports by exploring alternative suppliers in the U.S. or Asia to hedge against price spikes or logistical delays.
  • Monitor Industrial Demand Signals: Track Canadian manufacturing and energy sector trends to anticipate shifts in demand for Mexico’s top exports (HS 99, 87) and adjust production or inventory accordingly.

Frequently Asked Questions

How did Mexico - Canada trade perform in 2024 Q4?

Mexico exported $4.96B to Canada, with mixed YoY growth, while imports totaled $3.30B, showing fluctuating growth.

What are the top exports from Mexico to Canada?

HS Code 99 (Unspecified goods) dominates, accounting for 40.00% of exports, followed by HS Code 87.

What does Mexico import from Canada?

HS Code 99 (Unspecified goods) leads at 18.40%, with machinery (HS 84, 85) and raw materials (HS 02, 38) also significant.

What is the trade balance between Mexico and Canada?

Mexico holds a trade surplus of $1.66B, with exports outpacing imports by 50% in Q4 2024.

Mexico Canada Trade 2024 Q3

---

title: "Mexico - Canada Trade 2024 Q3: Widening Surplus"
description: "Mexico's trade surplus with Canada hits $1.74B in Q3 2024, driven by resource-for-tech swaps. Explore Mexico Canada trade trends and top trading products via yTrade data."
image: https://io.ytrade.com/ytrade-blog/Cover/mexico-data/mexico-canada-trade-2024-q3.webp
create_date: 2024-10-01
update_date: 2024-10-01
author: yTrade
slug: mexico-canada-trade-2024-q3
category: Import and Export Data
category_slug: import-and-export-data
sub_category: Country Trade Reports
sub_category_slug: country-trade-reports
tags:
- id: 7
  label: "Import Export Data"
  slug: import-export-data
- id: 12
  label: "Mexico"
  slug: mexico
sitemap:
  loc: /mexico-canada-trade-2024-q3
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ogTitle: "Mexico - Canada Trade 2024 Q3: Widening Surplus"
ogDescription: "Mexico's trade surplus with Canada hits $1.74B in Q3 2024, driven by resource-for-tech swaps. Explore Mexico Canada trade trends and top trading products via yTrade data."
ogImage: https://io.ytrade.com/ytrade-blog/Cover/mexico-data/mexico-canada-trade-2024-q3.webp
twitterCard: summary
twitterSite:
twitterTitle: "Mexico - Canada Trade 2024 Q3: Widening Surplus"
twitterDescription: "Mexico's trade surplus with Canada hits $1.74B in Q3 2024, driven by resource-for-tech swaps. Explore Mexico Canada trade trends and top trading products via yTrade data."
twitterImage: https://io.ytrade.com/ytrade-blog/Cover/mexico-data/mexico-canada-trade-2024-q3.webp
robots: index, follow

---

## Key Market Takeaways: Mexico - Canada Trade  

The bilateral trade relationship between **Mexico** and **Canada** shows mixed growth with a widening surplus in Q3 2024.  

- **Economic Pulse:** Mexico holds a **$1.74B trade surplus**, exporting $4.67B to Canada while importing $2.93B. Volatility persists, with Mexican exports rebounding in September after summer declines.  
- **Exchange Structure:** Mexico - Canada trade statistics reveal a **resource-for-tech swap**—Mexico ships unspecified goods (41% of exports) while importing machinery and chemicals from Canada.  
- **Strategic Interdependence:** Complementary but uneven: Canada retains higher value-add in industrial goods, while Mexico’s export concentration risks exposure to demand shifts.  

This bilateral trade snapshot is based on verified customs data from the [yTrade database](https://ytrade.com/data-sources).

## Mexico-Canada Trade Trend in Q3 2024

### Mexico Export Performance: Shipments to Canada  
- **Total Volume:** $4.67B in Q3 2024.  
- **Growth Trend & Context:** Mixed YoY performance—July saw strong growth (+12.94%), but August contracted (-4.97%). September rebounded slightly (+2.46%). No news to contextualize shifts.  
- **Key Volatility:** August (-6.0% MoM) and September (-7.11% MoM) marked consecutive monthly declines.  

### Mexico Import Performance: Sourcing from Canada  
- **Total Volume:** $2.93B in Q3 2024.  
- **Growth Trend & Context:** Steep YoY declines across all months (July: -4.18%, August: -7.3%, September: -25.81%). No news to explain the slump.  
- **Key Volatility:** September imports plummeted (-24.81% MoM), the sharpest monthly drop.  

### Mexico - Canada Trade Balance & Market Dynamics  
- **Net Position:** Mexico holds a **$1.74B trade surplus** with Canada (Exports: $4.67B, Imports: $2.93B).  
- **Relationship Status:** Mexico is a net exporter, but weakening Canadian demand (evident in import declines) warrants monitoring.

### Mexico Import Trend from Canada 2024 Q3 (Source: yTrade)**

| Month | Value | MoM | YoY |
|-------|-------|-----|-----|
| Jul | 1.01B | -2.26% | -4.18% |
| Aug | 1.10B | 9.08% | -7.3% |
| Sep | 824.73M | -24.81% | -25.81% |
| **Total** | **2.93B** | - | - |

### Mexico Export Trend to Canada 2024 Q3 (Source: yTrade)**

| Month | Value | MoM | YoY |
|-------|-------|-----|-----|
| Jul | 1.66B | 1.0% | 12.94% |
| Aug | 1.56B | -6.0% | -4.97% |
| Sep | 1.45B | -7.11% | 2.46% |
| **Total** | **4.67B** | - | - |

[Get Historical Mexico Canada Trade Records](https://ytrade.com/country-coverage)

## Mexico-Canada Top Trading Products in Q3 2024

### Mexico Export Profile: What Does Mexico Sell to Canada  
- **Top Commodity:** HS Code 99 (Unspecified goods) dominates with 41.36% of exports.  
- **Demand Driver:** Canada likely imports these for industrial processing or re-export, given the high share of unspecified goods.  
- **Concentration:** Trade is highly concentrated, with the top 3 categories (HS 99, 87, 84) accounting for 79.95% of exports.  

### Mexico Import Profile: What Does Mexico Buy from Canada  
- **Top Commodity:** HS Code 99 (Unspecified goods) leads at 18.79% of imports.  
- **Dependency Nature:** The mix of machinery (HS 84, 85), chemicals (HS 38, 39), and agricultural products (HS 02) suggests a blend of industrial and food security dependencies.  

### Mexico - Canada Trade Relationship Dynamics  
- **The Exchange Model:** **Resource-for-Tech Complementarity.** Mexico exports unspecified goods (likely raw materials) while importing machinery and chemicals, indicating a classic resource-for-technology swap.  
- **Value Chain Position:** Canada holds the higher value-add position, given its exports of machinery (HS 84, 85) and chemicals (HS 38, 39) versus Mexico’s reliance on unspecified goods.

### Import Analysis by Product: Canada to Mexico (Source: yTrade)

| HS Code | Value | Percent |
| --- | --- | --- |
| 99 | 549.98M | 18.79% |
| 87 | 395.32M | 13.51% |
| 84 | 374.33M | 12.79% |
| 39 | 207.84M | 7.10% |
| 85 | 198.03M | 6.77% |
| 38 | 177.81M | 6.07% |
| 02 | 162.42M | 5.55% |
| 76 | 112.61M | 3.85% |
| 72 | 93.29M | 3.19% |
| 73 | 64.57M | 2.21% |

### Export Analysis by Product: Mexico to Canada (Source: yTrade)

| HS Code | Value | Percent |
| --- | --- | --- |
| 99 | 1.93B | 41.36% |
| 87 | 1.25B | 26.78% |
| 84 | 550.81M | 11.81% |
| 85 | 408.13M | 8.75% |
| 94 | 126.76M | 2.72% |
| 08 | 89.44M | 1.92% |
| 19 | 36.43M | 0.78% |
| 30 | 34.94M | 0.75% |
| 02 | 25.94M | 0.56% |
| 90 | 23.84M | 0.51% |

[Check Detailed Mexico-Canada Trade HS Code Breakdown](https://ytrade.com/hs-code-coverage)

## Future Outlook & Strategic Recommendations  

### Forecast  
The Mexico-Canada trade relationship faces a period of adjustment in Q4 2024, with Mexico’s export growth likely to remain uneven due to volatile Canadian demand. The steep decline in imports from Canada (-25.81% YoY in September) signals weakening industrial or consumer demand, which could pressure Mexico’s trade surplus. However, the resource-for-tech complementarity (Mexico’s raw materials for Canada’s machinery and chemicals) provides a stable foundation. Traders should anticipate **modest export growth** but prepare for **downside risks** in Canadian procurement.  

### Strategic Moves  
- **Diversify Export Markets:** Mexico’s overreliance on Canada for unspecified goods (41.36% of exports) creates vulnerability. Exporters must aggressively target alternative buyers in the US or Asia to mitigate demand shocks.  
- **Lock in Long-Term Supply Contracts:** Canadian importers of Mexican raw materials should secure fixed-price agreements now, as volatile MoM swings (-7.11% in September) may lead to tighter margins.  
- **Monitor Canadian Industrial Policy:** The sharp drop in machinery/chemical imports (HS 84, 85, 38, 39) suggests potential shifts in Canada’s manufacturing sector. Mexican buyers should scout for alternative suppliers in Europe or domestic sources to avoid disruptions.

## Frequently Asked Questions

### How did Mexico - Canada trade perform in 2024 Q3?  
Mexico's exports to Canada totaled $4.67B, with mixed YoY growth, while imports from Canada fell sharply to $2.93B, marking steep declines across all months.

### What are the top exports from Mexico to Canada?  
HS Code 99 (Unspecified goods) dominated Mexico's exports to Canada, accounting for 41.36%, followed by HS 87 and 84, making up 79.95% of total exports.

### What does Mexico import from Canada?  
Mexico's top imports from Canada include HS Code 99 (Unspecified goods) at 18.79%, alongside machinery (HS 84, 85), chemicals (HS 38, 39), and agricultural products (HS 02).

### What is the trade balance between Mexico and Canada?  
Mexico holds a $1.74B trade surplus with Canada, though weakening Canadian demand led to significant import declines in Q3 2024.

Mexico Canada Trade 2025 Q1

---

title: "Mexico - Canada Trade 2025 Q1: $1.58B Surplus"
description: "Mexico's trade surplus with Canada hits $1.58B in Q1 2025, fueled by intra-industry exchange of high-value goods. Explore Mexico Canada trade trends & top trading products via yTrade data."
image: https://io.ytrade.com/ytrade-blog/Cover/mexico-data/mexico-canada-trade-2025-q1.webp
create_date: 2025-04-01
update_date: 2025-04-01
author: yTrade
slug: mexico-canada-trade-2025-q1
category: Import and Export Data
category_slug: import-and-export-data
sub_category: Country Trade Reports
sub_category_slug: country-trade-reports
tags:
- id: 7
  label: "Import Export Data"
  slug: import-export-data
- id: 12
  label: "Mexico"
  slug: mexico
sitemap:
  loc: /mexico-canada-trade-2025-q1
  lastmod: 2025-04-01
  changefreq: monthly
  priority: 0.8
ogTitle: "Mexico - Canada Trade 2025 Q1: $1.58B Surplus"
ogDescription: "Mexico's trade surplus with Canada hits $1.58B in Q1 2025, fueled by intra-industry exchange of high-value goods. Explore Mexico Canada trade trends & top trading products via yTrade data."
ogImage: https://io.ytrade.com/ytrade-blog/Cover/mexico-data/mexico-canada-trade-2025-q1.webp
twitterCard: summary
twitterSite:
twitterTitle: "Mexico - Canada Trade 2025 Q1: $1.58B Surplus"
twitterDescription: "Mexico's trade surplus with Canada hits $1.58B in Q1 2025, fueled by intra-industry exchange of high-value goods. Explore Mexico Canada trade trends & top trading products via yTrade data."
twitterImage: https://io.ytrade.com/ytrade-blog/Cover/mexico-data/mexico-canada-trade-2025-q1.webp
robots: index, follow

---

## Key Market Takeaways: Mexico - Canada Trade  

The bilateral trade relationship between **Mexico** and **Canada** solidifies Mexico's role as a net exporter in Q1 2025.  

- **Economic Pulse:** Mexico holds a **$1.58B trade surplus** with Canada, exporting $4.58B (up sharply YoY) while importing $3.00B (mixed growth).  
- **Exchange Structure:** Mexico - Canada trade statistics reveal **intra-industry trade**, with both nations exchanging similar high-value goods (HS 99, 87, 84), pointing to deep automotive/manufacturing supply chain ties.  
- **Strategic Interdependence:** Tight production network integration, with Canada supplying machinery and Mexico leveraging cost advantages in key export categories.  

This bilateral trade snapshot is based on verified customs data from the [yTrade database](https://ytrade.com/data-sources).

## Mexico-Canada Trade Trend in Q1 2025

### Mexico Export Performance: Shipments to Canada  
- **Total Volume:** $4.58B in Q1 2025.  
- **Growth Trend & Context:**  
  - Strong YoY growth in March (+42.49%) drove overall quarterly performance.  
  - February showed modest YoY growth (+2.48%), while January maintained a solid +18.38% YoY increase.  
- **Key Volatility:** March recorded the highest MoM surge (+21.48%), indicating accelerated demand or seasonal factors.  

### Mexico Import Performance: Sourcing from Canada  
- **Total Volume:** $3.00B in Q1 2025.  
- **Growth Trend & Context:**  
  - Mixed YoY trends: January edged up (+0.38%), February plunged (-23.06%), and March rebounded (+2.93%).  
- **Key Volatility:** March saw the sharpest MoM jump (+21.92%), while February’s MoM growth (+5.99%) followed a steep January decline (-13.25%).  

### Mexico - Canada Trade Balance & Market Dynamics  
- **Net Position:** Mexico holds a **$1.58B trade surplus** with Canada (Exports: $4.58B; Imports: $3.00B).  
- **Relationship Status:** Mexico solidifies its role as a net exporter, with exports outpacing imports by 53% in Q1. No significant policy shifts disrupted this dynamic.

### Mexico Import Trend from Canada 2025 Q1 (Source: yTrade)**

| Month | Value | MoM | YoY |
|-------|-------|-----|-----|
| Jan | 893.58M | -13.25% | 0.38% |
| Feb | 947.08M | 5.99% | -23.06% |
| Mar | 1.15B | 21.92% | 2.93% |
| **Total** | **3.00B** | - | - |

### Mexico Export Trend to Canada 2025 Q1 (Source: yTrade)**

| Month | Value | MoM | YoY |
|-------|-------|-----|-----|
| Jan | 1.37B | -0.47% | 18.38% |
| Feb | 1.45B | 5.97% | 2.48% |
| Mar | 1.76B | 21.48% | 42.49% |
| **Total** | **4.58B** | - | - |

[Get Historical Mexico Canada Trade Records](https://ytrade.com/country-coverage)

## Mexico-Canada Top Trading Products in Q1 2025

### Mexico Export Profile: What Does Mexico Sell to Canada  
- **Top Commodity:** HS Code 99 (Unspecified goods) dominates with 32.31% share.  
- **Demand Driver:** Canada likely uses these for industrial processing or re-export, given the high value and lack of specificity.  
- **Concentration:** The top 3 exports (HS 99, 87, 84) account for 79.25% of total exports, indicating heavy reliance on a few categories.  

### Mexico Import Profile: What Does Mexico Buy from Canada  
- **Top Commodity:** HS Code 99 (Unspecified goods) leads at 18.06% share.  
- **Dependency Nature:** Imports are diversified across machinery (HS 84, 85), vehicles (HS 87), and raw materials (HS 02, 38), suggesting a mix of industrial and agricultural dependencies.  

### Mexico - Canada Trade Relationship Dynamics  
- **The Exchange Model:** **Intra-Industry Trade** is evident, with both countries exchanging similar HS codes (99, 87, 84, 85). This points to deep supply chain integration, likely in automotive or manufacturing sectors.  
- **Value Chain Position:** Canada holds a slight edge in higher-value exports (e.g., HS 87 at 31.57% vs. Mexico’s 15.28%), but both economies are tightly interlinked in production networks.

### Import Analysis by Product: Canada to Mexico (Source: yTrade)

| HS Code | Value | Percent |
| --- | --- | --- |
| 99 | 540.93M | 18.06% |
| 87 | 457.80M | 15.28% |
| 84 | 452.53M | 15.11% |
| 02 | 198.18M | 6.62% |
| 85 | 198.04M | 6.61% |
| 39 | 196.11M | 6.55% |
| 38 | 137.24M | 4.58% |
| 76 | 108.89M | 3.64% |
| 72 | 97.03M | 3.24% |
| 73 | 52.18M | 1.74% |

### Export Analysis by Product: Mexico to Canada (Source: yTrade)

| HS Code | Value | Percent |
| --- | --- | --- |
| 99 | 1.48B | 32.31% |
| 87 | 1.45B | 31.57% |
| 84 | 704.19M | 15.37% |
| 85 | 383.31M | 8.37% |
| 94 | 126.31M | 2.76% |
| 08 | 91.95M | 2.01% |
| 30 | 61.36M | 1.34% |
| 07 | 41.06M | 0.90% |
| 73 | 23.99M | 0.52% |
| 19 | 21.46M | 0.47% |

[Check Detailed Mexico-Canada Trade HS Code Breakdown](https://ytrade.com/hs-code-coverage)

## Future Outlook & Strategic Recommendations  

### Forecast  
Mexico’s trade surplus with Canada is expected to widen in Q2 2025, fueled by sustained demand for industrial inputs (HS 99, 87, 84) and deeper supply chain integration. The March export surge (+42.49% YoY) signals accelerating demand, likely driven by Canada’s manufacturing rebound. However, import volatility (-23.06% YoY drop in February) suggests potential supply chain bottlenecks—traders should monitor Canadian production capacity. The Mexico-Canada trade forecast remains bullish, but exporters must prepare for seasonal fluctuations in high-value categories like vehicles and machinery.  

### Strategic Moves  
- **Diversify Export Offerings:** Reduce reliance on HS 99 (32.31% share) by pushing secondary categories like electrical machinery (HS 85) or agricultural goods, leveraging Canada’s diversified import profile.  
- **Secure Forward Contracts:** Lock in prices for key imports (e.g., Canadian machinery under HS 84) to hedge against February-style volatility (-23.06% YoY swings).  
- **Optimize Cross-Border Logistics:** Capitalize on intra-industry trade by aligning shipments with Canada’s production cycles—March’s 21.48% MoM export spike shows timing is critical.

## Frequently Asked Questions

### How did Mexico - Canada trade perform in 2025 Q1?  
Mexico's exports to Canada grew significantly, reaching $4.58B in Q1 2025, with a strong YoY surge in March (+42.49%). Imports from Canada totaled $3.00B, showing mixed YoY trends but a sharp MoM rebound in March (+21.92%).

### What are the top exports from Mexico to Canada?  
HS Code 99 (Unspecified goods) dominates Mexico's exports to Canada, accounting for 32.31% of the total. Other key exports include HS 87 and HS 84, with the top 3 categories making up 79.25% of shipments.

### What does Mexico import from Canada?  
HS Code 99 (Unspecified goods) leads Mexico's imports from Canada at 18.06%. Other major imports include machinery (HS 84, 85), vehicles (HS 87), and raw materials (HS 02, 38), reflecting diversified industrial and agricultural dependencies.

### What is the trade balance between Mexico and Canada?  
Mexico holds a $1.58B trade surplus with Canada in Q1 2025, with exports outpacing imports by 53%. The surplus reflects Mexico's strong export performance, particularly in March.

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